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Model predictions Book feed as of Thu, Sep 24, 3:57 AM EDT
Access: Anonymous access. Content follows. NFL picks
NFL matchup
CHI at CAR
Sun Sep 13 · 1:00 PM ET Week 1 Season 2026
Away
CHI
Home
CAR
Moneyline market unavailable
Market pricing has not been posted for this matchup yet.
Injuries & news
- Joe Thuney CHI G
Not injury related - resting player
Full Participation in Practice - Dayo Odeyingbo CHI DE
Shoulder
Full Participation in Practice - Malik Muhammad CHI CB
Ankle
Full Participation in Practice - Darren Waller CAR TE
Not injury related - resting player
Did Not Participate In Practice - Nick Scott CAR S
Rib
Did Not Participate In Practice - Devin Lloyd CAR LB
Calf
Did Not Participate In Practice - Grady Jarrett CHI DT
Not injury related - resting player
Full Participation in Practice - Patrick Jones II CAR LB
Back
Full Participation in Practice - D'Andre Swift CHI RB
Knee
Full Participation in Practice - Bobby Brown III CAR DT
Back
Full Participation in Practice - Darnell Wright CHI T
Knee
Full Participation in Practice - Ozzy Trapilo CHI T
Knee
Full Participation in Practice - Jalen Coker CAR WR
Ankle
Limited Participation in Practice - Xavier Woods CHI S
Groin
Full Participation in Practice - Neville Gallimore CHI DT
Illness
Full Participation in Practice - Claudin Cherelus CAR LB
Shoulder
Did Not Participate In Practice - Jaelan Phillips CAR LB
Back
Did Not Participate In Practice - Kyle Monangai CHI RB
Hamstring
Full Participation in Practice
Ask Sharkai · CHI @ CAR
Sharkai lenses
fan: Fan lens (narrative): CHI at CAR, week 1, season 2026. not yet graded house · baked Sep 22
casual-bettor: The public leans CHI: 67% of spread tickets at market line -3. 10-14 (42%, n=24) house · baked Sep 12
sharp: The market has Chicago laying -2.5 on the road in Carolina, and the sharp read is that the value sits on the Bears' side of that number. That -2.5 posting suggests the market may be underrating CHI relative to expectations, with the line movement reflecting a shift in perception rather than any certainty about the result. If the number keeps moving toward Chicago, the early position at -2.5 is where the closing-line value story gets told. 156-168 (48%, n=324) model-narrated · baked Sep 1
modeler: Our model leans Carolina here, but only barely, projecting a 0.19-point margin in their favor. That razor-thin edge sits well short of the posted -2.5 line, a notable disagreement between our numbers and the market. When the model's edge is that slim relative to the spread, it signals real uncertainty rather than conviction on either side. 155-146 (51%, n=301) model-narrated · baked Sep 1
contrarian: Everyone's rushing to back CHI at -2.5, but that number looks inflated and the hype around the popular side is exactly what makes it a textbook fade case. When a line gets overpriced like this, the value quietly shifts to the other sideline. CAR is well positioned to capitalize on the mispricing and make the crowd regret following the money. 174-166 (51%, n=340) model-narrated · baked Sep 1
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