Today's Brief

Model Leans

These model estimates are above the quoted price's break-even probability. The difference is in percentage points, not game-score points or expected returns.

• #1 LEAN
  Under 48.5 total points in NYJ at KC
  NYJ at KC
  Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
  Model − break-even: +12.21 percentage points -115
• #2 LEAN
  Over 38.5 total points in NYG at PHI
  NYG at PHI
  Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
  Model − break-even: +11.46 percentage points -112
• #3 LEAN
  MIN moneyline vs BUF
  BUF at MIN
  Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 PM EST
  Model − break-even: +10.91 percentage points +142
• #4 LEAN
  Under 51.5 total points in LV at SF
  LV at SF
  Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM EST
  Model − break-even: +9.52 percentage points +100

Traps to Avoid

• Over 48.5 total points in NYJ at KC
  Not a qualifying lean
• Under 38.5 total points in NYG at PHI
  Not a qualifying lean
• BUF moneyline at MIN
  Not a qualifying lean

News Radar

• ESPN Browns and Saints try to stay close to their division leaders as they meet in New Orleans
• ESPN Dolphins host Lions with Hafley's team aiming for grit that Campbell has built in Detroit
• ESPN Panthers place focus on stopping the run vs. Broncos following defensive coordinator change
• ESPN Bengals' Burrow is looking to extend 3-game winning streak against Penix and Falcons in Madrid

Coming Up

• CIN at ATL
  Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 AM EST
• NYJ at KC
  Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
• CLE at NO
  Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
• DAL at IND
  Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
• DEN at CAR
  Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
• DET at MIA
  Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
• NYG at PHI
  Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST
• LA at WAS
  Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM EST