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▲-10 → -9.5 (+0.5) over 24 captures TB @ DAL DAL -10 → -9.5 · DraftKings — open TB @ DAL matchup■ house House record, last 10: 8–2 · NFL ATS, last 90 days: 66.7% (n=30) · Early sample · 30 of 50 plays · 22h ago — open the house record
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Model predictions Book feed as of Mon, Oct 5, 10:07 PM EDT

Sharp Action Backtest

For every game where books showed strong sharp consensus (an average sharp lean of 15+), did the sharp side actually win? Bucketed by lean strength. Break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Greater than that = +EV.

0 sharp bets graded
Confidence GREEN edge ≥ +5pts AND n ≥ 30 AMBER +2pts ≤ edge < +5pts RED edge < 0 (fade the sharp side)

Our best model, graded in public.