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Sharp Action Backtest
For every game where books showed strong sharp consensus (avg_sharp_lean ≥ 15), did the sharp side actually win? Bucketed by lean strength. Break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Greater than that = +EV.
0 sharp bets graded
Confidence GREEN edge ≥ +5pts AND n ≥ 30 AMBER +2pts ≤ edge < +5pts RED edge < 0 (fade the sharp side)
Choose a season view to run the backtest.
