AI model predictions. For entertainment and educational use. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Not financial or gambling advice.

Model Backtest

⚠ Leak filter active

Only counts predictions where predictions.generated_at < events.starts_at — i.e., the model picked the game BEFORE it was played. Diagnostic confirmed ~99.998% of historical "predictions" in this database were training-time backtests written after games settled (metadata.actual_value populated, generated_at years after the game). Pre-filter the page would have shown 33 "+EV" buckets at 75–85% cover — all in-sample training accuracy, none real edge. Post-filter, only forward picks survive. Most models won't have any until the prediction pipeline runs ahead of upcoming slates with the leak fixed upstream.

Per-(model × sport × market) cover rate vs −110 break-even (52.38%). Built on 0 legit forward picks. Once the prediction pipeline starts emitting genuine pre-game forecasts, this page will populate automatically — the nightly grader cron refreshes the MV.

Strong +EV
0
edge ≥ +5pts, n ≥ 30
Strong Fade
0
edge ≤ −5pts, n ≥ 30
⚠ Leak Suspect
0
edge ≥ +20pts (improbable)
Combos
0
model × sport × market
Sport: Market: Min picks:

No models meet the threshold

Lower the min picks filter or pick a different sport/market combo.