Fade Plays

Sides OPPOSITE the strong AN sharp-money consensus on tonight's spread + total markets. The Sharp Backtest showed that 7 of 8 sport-market sharp-side buckets at 15+ lean lose ATS — most strikingly NHL spread 20-29 lean (n=202, sharp side covers 33% → fade gives +19pts edge over -110 break-even). Each play below is enriched with the historical fade cover rate of its bucket so you see the realised expectation, not just the raw signal. Moneyline excluded (fade math depends on differential odds).