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Model predictions Book feed as of Mon, Oct 5, 11:07 PM EDT
Fade Plays
Sides OPPOSITE the strong AN sharp-money consensus on tonight's spread + total markets. The Sharp Backtest showed that 7 of 8 sport-market sharp-side buckets at 15+ lean lose ATS — most strikingly NHL spread 20-29 lean (n=202, sharp side covers 33% → fade gives +19pts edge over -110 break-even). Each play below is enriched with the historical fade cover rate of its bucket so you see the realised expectation, not just the raw signal. Moneyline excluded (fade math depends on differential odds).
Sport: Market:
Strong Edge
0
edge ≥ +5pts, n ≥ 30
Lean Edge
0
edge +2 to +5pts
Marginal
0
edge < +2pts
Unproven
0
n < 5
No fade plays in tonight's slate
The fade signal needs an average sharp lean of 20+ across 3+ books on a spread or total market. Either nothing meets that threshold right now, or the live AN scrape is stale.
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