Models · records updated as games settle
Every model. Every record.
The full board, good and bad. Each card shows the results behind the model, how many picks were graded and whether the record comes from live picks or a backtest.
Models
Ready200
Newest 200 in the registry
Families
Ready82
Variants grouped by name
Markets
Ready4
Distinct targets in the registry
Best house records
House model records
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Counting the registry
LoadingSpread leaderboard
Every model with a graded spread record
Ranking graded models
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Models other people published. We name the author and the license and show the record at every line basis we hold.
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by FiveThirtyEight · MIT · NFL spread · seasons 1999–2025 · commit fbec1af
- vs opening line
- Opening line not held
- vs closing line · graded here
- 3576-3505-195 (50.5%) [49.3%–51.7%] n=7081 as of Feb 8, 2026
Too close to call against the closing line - nfelo spread
by greerreNFL · NONE · NFL spread · seasons 2021–2025 · commit 0386d83
- vs opening line
- Opening line not held
- vs closing line · graded here
- 615-587-28 (51.2%) [48.3%–54.0%] n=1202 as of Feb 8, 2026
Too close to call against the closing line Record only · No licence in the repo, so no remix — only the author can add one -
by FiveThirtyEight · MIT · NFL moneyline · seasons 1999–2025 · commit fbec1af
- vs opening line
- Opening line not held
- vs closing line · graded here
- 2394-2887-14 n=5281 as of Feb 8, 2026
Too close to call against the closing line
All model cards
82 families · 200 models shown
Pulsing edge = opens more detail
nfl Jul 5, 2026
Distributed Offense Continuity Cover Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
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Divisional Dog Moneyline 0
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NFL · v1.0.0
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- divisional-dog-moneyline-2-756806bd View card →
- divisional-dog-moneyline-1-2f263f92 View card →
- divisional-dog-moneyline-0-c3885945 View card →
- divisional-dog-moneyline-4-4d2aa791 View card →
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- divisional-dog-moneyline-3-2944841a View card →
- divisional-dog-moneyline-2-7e22fafb View card →
- divisional-dog-moneyline-0-796a654c View card →
nfl Jul 5, 2026
Divisional Dog Spread 4
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NFL · v1.0.0
License: free
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- divisional-dog-spread-0-84553a90 View card →
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- divisional-dog-spread-1-8cd65586 View card →
- divisional-dog-spread-ec432790 View card →
nfl Jul 5, 2026
Divisional Epa Dog Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
License: free
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nfl Jul 5, 2026
Dome Overs Total 2
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NFL · v1.0.0
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nfl Jul 5, 2026
Early Down Epa Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
License: free
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nfl Jul 5, 2026
Early Down Spread 4
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NFL · v1.0.0
License: free
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nfl Jul 5, 2026
Epa Full Stack Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
License: free
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Epa Spread Edge
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NFL · v1.0.0
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Explosive Epa Composite
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NFL · v1.0.0
License: free
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Explosive Spread 4
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NFL · v1.0.0
License: free
View model card → Remix with simple tweaks →6 variants
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- explosive-spread-2-05e2175f View card →
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- explosive-spread-0-33940dda View card →
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nfl Jul 5, 2026
Explosive Total 3
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NFL · v1.0.0
License: free
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- explosive-total-2-99637d44 View card →
nfl Jul 5, 2026
Home Dog Moneyline
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NFL · v1.0.0
License: free
View model card → Remix with simple tweaks →7 variants
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- home-dog-moneyline-4-fc75dfd0 View card →
- home-dog-moneyline-3-d2767bd3 View card →
- home-dog-moneyline-1-5f2db9cf View card →
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nfl Jul 5, 2026
Home Dog Spread 3
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NFL · v1.0.0
License: free
View model card → Remix with simple tweaks →5 variants
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- home-dog-spread-4-f8244d79 View card →
- home-dog-spread-1-fb3e5f79 View card →
nfl Sep 3, 2026
House Baseline v1 - NFL Moneyline
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NFL · v1.0.0
License: free
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House Baseline v1 - NFL Passing TDs
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NFL · v1.0.0
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House Baseline v1 - NFL Passing Yards
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NFL · v1.0.0
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House Baseline v1 - NFL Receiving Yards
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NFL · v1.0.0
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House Baseline v1 - NFL Receptions
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NFL · v1.0.0
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House Baseline v1 - NFL Rushing Yards
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NFL · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → nfl Sep 3, 2026
House Baseline v1 - NFL Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → nfl Sep 3, 2026
House Baseline v1 - NFL Total
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NFL · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → mlb Sep 3, 2026
House MLB Hits
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MLB · v1.0.0
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House MLB Home Runs
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MLB · v1.0.0
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House MLB Moneyline
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MLB · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → mlb Sep 3, 2026
House MLB Pitcher Ks
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MLB · v1.0.0
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House MLB Team Runs
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MLB · v1.0.0
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House MLB Total
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MLB · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → nba Sep 3, 2026
House NBA Assists
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NBA · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → nba Sep 3, 2026
House NBA Moneyline
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NBA · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → nba Sep 3, 2026
House NBA Points
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NBA · v1.0.0
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House NBA Rebounds
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NBA · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → nba Sep 3, 2026
House NBA Spread
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NBA · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → nba Sep 3, 2026
House NBA Total
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NBA · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → nfl Sep 4, 2026
House NFL Bridge - Preseason Prior (Elo) - Moneyline
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NFL · v1.0.0
License: free
View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → nfl Sep 4, 2026
House NFL Bridge - Preseason Prior (Elo) - Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → nfl Sep 3, 2026
House NFL Interceptions
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NFL · v1.0.0
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House NFL Longest Reception
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NFL · v1.0.0
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House NFL Moneyline
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NFL · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → nfl Sep 3, 2026
House NFL Passing TDs
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NFL · v1.0.0
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House NFL Passing Yards
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NFL · v1.0.0
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House NFL Receiving TDs
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NFL · v1.0.0
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House NFL Receiving Yards
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NFL · v1.0.0
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House NFL Rushing TDs
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NFL · v1.0.0
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House NFL Rushing Yards
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NFL · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → nfl Sep 3, 2026
House NFL Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → nfl Sep 3, 2026
House NFL Total
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NFL · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → nhl Sep 3, 2026
House NHL Moneyline
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NHL · v1.0.0
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House NHL Shots on Goal
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NHL · v1.0.0
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House NHL Total
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NHL · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → nfl Jul 5, 2026
Line Move Steam Moneyline 3
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NFL · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks →5 variants
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- line-move-steam-moneyline-1-4674fc90 View card →
- line-move-steam-moneyline-4-eb2b09ae View card →
- line-move-steam-moneyline-2-669d1a8a View card →
- line-move-steam-moneyline-0-8a859a7a View card →
nfl Jul 5, 2026
Line Move Steam Spread 4
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NFL · v1.0.0
License: free
View model card → Remix with simple tweaks →6 variants
- line-move-steam-spread-4-3ba3bc44 View card →
- line-move-steam-spread-2-e1b0e065 View card →
- line-move-steam-spread-0-91a44f31 View card →
- line-move-steam-spread-3-99c3f788 View card →
- line-move-steam-spread-1-437205fb View card →
- line-move-steam-spread-575ae0f3 View card →
nfl Jul 5, 2026
Momentum Spread 4
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NFL · v1.0.0
License: free
View model card → Remix with simple tweaks →6 variants
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- momentum-spread-0-8486219f View card →
- momentum-spread-16d34889 View card →
nfl Jul 5, 2026
Pace Overs Total 0
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NFL · v1.0.0
License: free
View model card → Remix with simple tweaks →6 variants
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- pace-overs-total-4-77758344 View card →
- pace-overs-total-3-106ebf93 View card →
- pace-overs-total-2-6bf10408 View card →
- pace-overs-total-1-8aff5fc3 View card →
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nfl Jul 5, 2026
Pass Epa Rest Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
License: free
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Playoff Unders Total 3
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NFL · v1.0.0
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nfl Jul 5, 2026
Post Bye Tempo Spike Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
License: free
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Primetime Back To Back Total Fade Total
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NFL · v1.0.0
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Primetime Unders Total 4
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NFL · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks →6 variants
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- primetime-unders-total-2-d01051f6 View card →
- primetime-unders-total-1-91cff9bc View card →
- primetime-unders-total-0-82ebcc03 View card →
- primetime-unders-total-b86e4954 View card →
nfl Jul 5, 2026
Public Balanced Bundle Spread Smoke Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
License: free
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Public Divisional Epa Sos Reversion Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
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Public Epa Sos Home Dog Spread Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
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Public Epa Sos Spread Audit Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
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Public Epa Sos Spread Residual Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
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Public High Play Dog Backdoor Spread Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → nfl Jul 5, 2026
Public Qb Discontinuity Favorite Fade Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
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Public Qb Skill Concentration Spread Audit Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
License: free
View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → nfl Jul 5, 2026
Public Sos Inflated Favorite Fade Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
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View model card → Remix with simple tweaks → nfl Jul 5, 2026
Qb Injury Moneyline 4
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NFL · v1.0.0
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nfl Jul 5, 2026
Qb Injury Spread 4
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NFL · v1.0.0
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nfl Jul 5, 2026
Redzone Epa Total Misprice Total
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NFL · v1.0.0
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Redzone Td Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
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Rest Diff Moneyline 4
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NFL · v1.0.0
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nfl Jul 5, 2026
Rest Diff Spread 3
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NFL · v1.0.0
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nfl Jul 5, 2026
Rest Epa Home Dog Spread Canary Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
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Rest Epa Home Dog Spread Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
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Situational Spread 4
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NFL · v1.0.0
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nfl Jul 5, 2026
Sos Inflated Epa Fade Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
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Third Down Epa Spread
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NFL · v1.0.0
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Travel Fade Spread 4
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NFL · v1.0.0
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nfl Jul 5, 2026
Weather Spread 4
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NFL · v1.0.0
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nfl Jul 5, 2026
Weather Total
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NFL · v1.0.0
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