Fantasy football ·
Sleepers Our Model Has Ranked Way Above Their ADP
The most consistent draft value sits where our projection ranks a player above market ADP. The sleeper archetypes the model flags this preseason.
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112 matching articles from 536 available published articles.
Fantasy football ·
Fantasy Rankings Update (Aug 17): Our Model’s Risers and Fallers
Which NFL players our projection model has climbing the board this preseason, who it is cooling on, and how to read the live /fantasy/nfl/rankings page.
Model checks ·
NFL Betting Models: What They Are and What Ours Watches
Our NFL model is a 64-model panel, not one number. See how far 38 spread models disagree on one game, and which model feeds the published pick.
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NFL ·
Modeling NFL Like an Analyst: Spread, Total, and Player Props from Scratch
Build NFL prop, spread and total models from scratch: what stats to feed them, keeping confidence honest, removing the vig, and sizing bets in-browser.
Updated
Model checks ·
No-Code Sports Betting Studio Handbook
No-code betting model handbook: drag and drop a model, test it on past seasons, check it beats the closing line, build an NFL spread model in 10 minutes.
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Fantasy football ·
Rookie RB Week 1 Snap Projections 2026: A Bayesian Approach to Backfield Touch Distribution
A Bayesian framework for projecting Week 1 snap share for 2026 rookie running backs using 2018-2024 priors, depth charts, OC tendency, and preseason reps.
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NFL Betting ·
Monday Night Football Totals 2026: Where the Prime-Time Totals Edge Hides
Why Monday night NFL totals systematically trade above their fair number, with 2026 MNF schedule context and a pace-plus-weather under model.
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Model checks ·
Build an NFL Spread Model in TensorFlow.js From Scratch
A TensorFlow.js NFL betting model tutorial: define the architecture, prep the data, train in the browser, and evaluate against the closing spread.
Fantasy football ·
Fantasy Football Bye-Week Strategy for 2026: Draft Depth Without Wasting Picks
The real 2026 NFL bye-week table, which week hits hardest, and the roster-construction rules worth using instead of drafting around it.
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DFS ·
DFS Leverage Without Bad Projections: Finding Salary Pivots That Pay
How to build leverage in NFL DFS lineups by pivoting salary without sacrificing projection quality.
Fantasy football ·
NFL DFS Ownership Leverage Strategy for 2026
Use 2026 NFL DFS ownership projections to find leverage without making low-probability tournament lineups.
Fantasy football ·
NFL DFS Showdown Captain Strategy for 2026
How to choose 2026 NFL DFS showdown captains using role, salary, game script, and leverage instead of raw projection alone.
Fantasy football ·
2026 Best Ball Stack Strategy: Correlation Without Drafting Like a Fan
The four highest-scoring QB and pass-catcher pairs on the Week 1 board, with what each pair costs. Philadelphia is the bargain.
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Fantasy football ·
Injury Discounts in 2026 Fantasy Drafts: When the Market Gets Too Scared
The injury discount is not there. Six often-injured skill players, and the draft room is paying above the Week 1 projection board on every one.
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Market moves ·
NFL Draft 2026 Prop Bets: What the Numbers Say
NFL draft prop bets explained: draft-position markets, first OL taken, RB in round 1, and where models find edge before the picks roll in.
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Fantasy football ·
We Backtested Every Preseason RB1 Pick from 2019-2024 — Here's the Hit Rate
A six-season backtest of preseason RB1 ADP versus final fantasy finishes, with hit rates by tier, miss profiles, and late-round RB1 archetypes.
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Fantasy football ·
FAAB Strategy: How Much to Bid on Waiver-Wire Adds, by Projection Tier
FAAB bidding strategy by projection tier: the Shark Snip model maps each waiver type — RB handcuff, WR breakout, streamer — to a bid percentage.
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Fantasy football ·
Fantasy Trade Window Timing: When Markets Move in Your Favor
The Week 1 projection board agrees with the draft room on five of six names. The trade window is Dalton Schultz and a whole position nobody bids on.
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