Updated Sep 7, 2026 · Week 1 board.
Where the price and the board disagree, and where they do not
Six names, two numbers each. Draft order is where the room takes him among every priced player. Board order is where the Week 1 projection board, PPR scoring, files him in that same population. Subtract and you have the gap.
One caution before you read it. Board order ranks raw points and never asks how many of each position you start, so a quarterback and a receiver share one ladder. That matters more than it sounds, and it comes back to bite the last section here.
| Player | Team | Pos | Week 1 projected pts (PPR) | Board rank | ADP | Draft-order rank | Board order | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Schultz | HOU | TE | 8.36 | 19 | 175.6 | 201 | 144 | +57 |
| Troy Franklin | DEN | WR | 2.91 | 105 | 179 | 205 | 198 | +7 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | DET | RB | 22.50 | 1 | 1.4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Justin Jefferson | MIN | WR | 17.08 | 6 | 11.6 | 12 | 21 | -9 |
| CeeDee Lamb | DAL | WR | 17.25 | 5 | 10.5 | 10 | 20 | -10 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | CAR | WR | 14.81 | 9 | 31.7 | 32 | 47 | -15 |
Read the last column and most of it is noise. Gibbs is a dead heat, first and first. Jefferson is nine spots, Lamb ten, McMillan fifteen, Franklin seven the other way. None of those is a trade; they are the same opinion written twice.
Dalton Schultz is the exception and he is worth the whole table. The room drafts him 201st, on an average pick of 175.6, and the board files him 144th on 8.36 projected points, nineteenth among tight ends. Fifty-seven spots, and nobody in your league is paying attention to the nineteenth tight end.
Reading the gap as a trade window
Now the part this piece did not expect to write. Sort every priced player by that gap and the first nineteen are quarterbacks. Nineteen straight, and the twentieth name is Dalton Schultz. Bryce Young is drafted 190th and the board files him 35th, 155 spots, with Aaron Rodgers at 146 behind him and Malik Willis at 131 behind that.
That is not the market being wrong about quarterbacks. It is one ladder counting raw points in a format where you start one of them, so a passer who scores like a good receiver still comes off the board in the fifteenth round. The model-versus-consensus edges guide runs the same comparison position by position.
So the honest window is narrow. Schultz if your league starts a tight end and somebody is bored of him. A quarterback if your league starts two, because that is the only format where a 155-spot gap turns into a lineup spot. Everywhere else the two lists read the same players and reach the same verdict, and agreement is not a trade.
The full Week 1 board carries every name on both sides. Go and check the two you are actually thinking about.
When the room actually reconsiders a name
Send offers Monday morning or Tuesday afternoon. A manager who watched a roster underperform Sunday is more open to a change than one riding a big week. Skip Thursday and Friday; attention is low and offers get ignored. A rival reconsiders a name like Gibbs the week his role gets questioned, not the week after a big box score buries the doubt.
It runs the other way too. Nobody sitting on Schultz has a reason to sell him cheap until a real target count makes the room look, so that buy window holds past Week 1 rather than closing at kickoff.
Put a deadline on your own offer, 48 hours is plenty, and send a fresh one if the first goes unanswered. Our trade analyzer math guide covers how to price the return side once you have a target. Check the ADP value tiers guide too; a trade partner is anchored to the same average draft position numbers in the table above.
What the Number Says
Fifty-seven spots on Dalton Schultz, and he is the only name on this page worth an offer. Everything else here is a market and a board saying the same thing in two different fonts. One thing kills the Schultz case, and it is Houston's tight end snaps in Week 1: if he is not out there for most of them, 8.36 projected points was the whole argument and it goes away.
Come back to this list after Week 1. A gap that closes on its own means the room caught up, and a gap that survives real production is the one to act on. Check whatever you send against Sunday's Week 1 picks, because a game script moves a role faster than a redraft board moves.
