You
tail record, your calls, your models — graded exactly like the house.
Your tail record, your calls and your models — graded exactly like the house.
Sign in to see the same three numbers Insights shows for the house, scoped to you.
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Insights
Receipts first. Every number traces to a graded row.
The same receipts query feeds Picks, Insights and the Sunday digest — it can never disagree with itself.
Sharkai · your pet shark, graded like everything else
Optional floating companion. XP comes only from graded outcomes — levels, bling and free-tier perks unlock as your record grows; nothing is awarded for ungraded activity.
Sharkai is off. Opt in above and the pet floats on every page; your XP keeps accruing either way.
Sunday digest · 09:00
Preview of the weekly digest email.
- Plays above the floor: 5 · as of Oct 5, 9:23 PM ET
- Split: not in this digest yet
- Your ticket: not in this digest yet
- House record: 20-10-2 · 66.7% · NFL ATS, last 90 days · n=30 · as of Sep 29, 5:23 PM ET
- Alert fired: not in this digest yet
- Crew: not in this digest yet
- New badge: not in this digest yet
live · 90-day grading-batch window · n=30
What you’ll see
Access and data readiness
What this page can show you about access, sample size, grading freshness and receipt consistency.
Access state
Anon
Signed out
Receipts + Leaderboard public (that's the marketing); Explore links to Data + saved views · this viewer: signed out
Access state
Trial · paid
Signed out
Explore link-out + saved views + share cards; Me · not this viewer: signed out — the tier is not in this page's payload, so no tier is claimed
Query state
Cold query
4,258 graded plays
receipts query · all-time window · n=4,258 · as of Sep 29, 5:23 PM ET
Sample health
Small n
2 / 4 rows under threshold
Insight widgets · current bake · n=4 widget rows · cells under 50 plays grey with the n; never hidden— lens-hit n=0, calibration-curve n=0
Grading window
Week not graded
50 upcoming games
loadGames · 50-game upcoming window · n=50 considered· last graded Sep 29, 5:23 PM ET
Integrity
Disagreement guard
Agrees
receipts aggregate vs per-market sum · all-time window · n=4,258 · checked this render · last graded Sep 29, 5:23 PM ET
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See ProInsights · real claim grader
The graded field: the market, mined
Every pundit claim in the transcript corpus, typed and graded against what actually happened. Who has been right, who has enough evidence to judge, and where the observed field sits against the house sample and fade gates.
public.pundit_claim_grades public.pundit_claims · transcript-backed public.pundits.kind=real correct + wrong denominator
22 decided grades across 1 real sources · all-time window · small n is labeled as such. Coverage: top-decile and quadrant labels describe only the currently graded field, not ungraded or unresolved calls.
Claims graded as of Oct 5, 3:54 AM ET · Source registry as of Oct 5, 3:15 AM ET
Pundit claim grading
newest 6 decided claims · same rows as the ledger
| Claim | Source | Verdict |
|---|---|---|
| “I still think that the Rams have a better chance because of their consistency.” | Ben Solak (The Football Show) · Oct 29 | wrong |
| “I'm gonna pick the Raiders.” | Ben Solak (The Football Show) · Oct 29 | wrong |
| “Speaker picks the Bengals to win over the Patriots.” | Ben Solak (The Football Show) · Oct 29 | wrong |
| “The Patriots really don't got a lot going for them it seems.” | Ben Solak (The Football Show) · Oct 29 | correct |
| “I think the Eagles have together more, they worked together as a team better.” | Ben Solak (The Football Show) · Oct 29 | correct |
| “I think that they are more cohesive and two, just more talented than the Jaguars.” | Ben Solak (The Football Show) · Oct 29 | correct |
Pundit ledger
Decided, transcript-backed calls by real source. Pushes and unresolved claims never enter the hit-rate denominator.
pundit_claim_grades pundit_claims · transcript evidence pundits.kind=real
| Source | W-L | Hit % | n | Window | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Solak (The Football Show) | 13-9 | 59.1% | 22 | all-time | hot |
22 decided grades across 1 real sources · all-time window
Verdict rules: unproven below n=20; gasbag below 45% after the gate; hot is the top decile of the gated field. With a thin gated field, hot is field-relative coverage, not a claim about ungraded calls.
Gasbag quadrant
More decided claims move right; a higher correct/wrong hit rate moves up. Every dot is a directly labeled real source.
pundit_claim_grades correct + wrong only all-time
Counterfactual boundary: the guide lines classify observed grades only; they do not infer how a source would have performed on unresolved or unmade calls.