Model checks ·
Build an NFL Spread Model in TensorFlow.js From Scratch
A TensorFlow.js NFL betting model tutorial: define the architecture, prep the data, train in the browser, and evaluate against the closing spread.
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Blog and learning
Find a published guide, inspect its sources, and put the idea into practice.
182 matching articles from 536 available published articles.
Model checks ·
Transfer Portal → Team Total Deltas: A CFB Bettor's Guide
Quantify how CFB transfer portal moves shift team totals. Recent QB transfers, methodology, and how to find futures and weekly edges.
Model checks ·
A UFC Round-Simulation Brick You Can Remix
Build a UFC round-by-round Monte Carlo simulator in the browser. Style matchups, takedown rate, finish probability, and round-prop edges.
Model checks ·
XGBoost vs TF.js Bricks: Which to Use When
A head-to-head guide for choosing between XGBoost and TF.js bricks for betting models — accuracy, latency, memory, and browser portability.
Fantasy football ·
Fantasy Football Bye-Week Strategy for 2026: Draft Depth Without Wasting Picks
The real 2026 NFL bye-week table, which week hits hardest, and the roster-construction rules worth using instead of drafting around it.
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DFS ·
DFS Leverage Without Bad Projections: Finding Salary Pivots That Pay
How to build leverage in NFL DFS lineups by pivoting salary without sacrificing projection quality.
Fantasy football ·
NFL DFS Ownership Leverage Strategy for 2026
Use 2026 NFL DFS ownership projections to find leverage without making low-probability tournament lineups.
Fantasy football ·
NFL DFS Showdown Captain Strategy for 2026
How to choose 2026 NFL DFS showdown captains using role, salary, game script, and leverage instead of raw projection alone.
Fantasy football ·
2026 Best Ball Stack Strategy: Correlation Without Drafting Like a Fan
The four highest-scoring QB and pass-catcher pairs on the Week 1 board, with what each pair costs. Philadelphia is the bargain.
Updated
Fantasy football ·
Injury Discounts in 2026 Fantasy Drafts: When the Market Gets Too Scared
The injury discount is not there. Six often-injured skill players, and the draft room is paying above the Week 1 projection board on every one.
Updated
Market moves ·
NFL Draft 2026 Prop Bets: What the Numbers Say
NFL draft prop bets explained: draft-position markets, first OL taken, RB in round 1, and where models find edge before the picks roll in.
Updated
Fantasy football ·
We Backtested Every Preseason RB1 Pick from 2019-2024 — Here's the Hit Rate
A six-season backtest of preseason RB1 ADP versus final fantasy finishes, with hit rates by tier, miss profiles, and late-round RB1 archetypes.
Updated
Fantasy football ·
FAAB Strategy: How Much to Bid on Waiver-Wire Adds, by Projection Tier
FAAB bidding strategy by projection tier: the Shark Snip model maps each waiver type — RB handcuff, WR breakout, streamer — to a bid percentage.
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Fantasy football ·
Fantasy Trade Window Timing: When Markets Move in Your Favor
The Week 1 projection board agrees with the draft room on five of six names. The trade window is Dalton Schultz and a whole position nobody bids on.
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Fantasy football ·
Training Camp Role Signals That Matter for 2026 Fantasy Football
Week 1 is here, so the camp stories get checked. The board has Michael Pittman fourteen places ahead of where the room drafts him.
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Fantasy football ·
Zero RB in 2026: When the Strategy Works and When It Turns Into Wishcasting
The Week 1 projection board agrees with the market on the first back off the board and splits from it in the middle rounds. That split is the Zero RB case.
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Fantasy football ·
Keeper League Value Strategy for 2026 Fantasy Football
A $1 tight end reads close to a $29 one on the Week 1 projection board. Here is how to price a 2026 keeper off that ratio rather than off a name.
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Fantasy football ·
How to Read a Trade Analyzer Verdict (Without Falling for Bad Math)
Fantasy trade analyzers show verdicts but hide the math. Learn what Shark Snip weighs, where trade values go wrong, and when to override a bad result.
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