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The WR Breakout Board Has No Price to Read

Read the price, role, and market first Luther Burden finally has a draft price, and it lands two spots from the board's own rank. The other three still have none, and the board says why.

6 sections

Sample-Size Sam

Retired byline of the Shark Snip desk for accuracy-tracking coverage. Kept for the posts published under it before 2026-09-09.

Key takeaways (from article sections)

  • Four names, one of them now priced
  • What arrived: a price on the name that carried the piece
  • What the blank actually means for the other three
  • How to price the three that are left
  • What this isn’t
  • The Receipts Drawer

Updated Sep 7, 2026 · Week 1 board.

Four names, one of them now priced

Every figure below comes off the Week 1 projection board, PPR scoring, except the FantasyPros column, which is that site's own half-PPR receiver consensus. The ADP column is what drafters pay. Three blanks and one number.

PlayerTeamProjected points, Week 1 (PPR)Board rank at receiverADPFantasyPros half-PPR WR rankDepth chartInjury tag
Luther BurdenCHI12.022851262Questionable
Pat BryantDEN4.1692none763none
Chimere DikeTEN2.37112none934none
Christian KirkSF0.00167none997IR

What arrived: a price on the name that carried the piece

Luther Burden is the reason this page existed. In August he had a real projection and no price at all, which is the kind of hole worth writing about. Today drafters take him at 51, making him the 26th receiver off the board in drafts, while this week's figure puts him 28th at the position on 12.02 projected points. Two spots apart.

The gap I went looking for closed while I was looking at it, and there is nothing left to arbitrage there. He also carries a questionable tag and sits second on the Chicago depth chart, both of which are in that 12.02 whether you like it or not.

What the blank actually means for the other three

Pat Bryant projects 4.16 points, 92nd at the position, third on the Denver chart, and no draft price. Chimere Dike comes back at 2.37, 112th, fourth in Tennessee. Neither figure is a starter's figure and neither man is priced, and those two facts agree with each other. A blank in the ADP column is not a bargain hiding.

It's a room that hasn't bothered, and on this evidence the room is right.

Christian Kirk reads 0.00 on the board. Not a low number. Zero. He is on injured reserve and listed seventh on the San Francisco depth chart, and that zero is a status marker, not the board's opinion of a football player.

FantasyPros puts him 99th on its own receiver list, which is a ranking of a man who might play later this season. I put him in the August version of this page as a veteran whose role was uncertain. That was wrong in the ordinary way. His role isn't uncertain, he's out, and no amount of reading a range would have told me that.

How to price the three that are left

Nobody is bidding on Pat Bryant or Chimere Dike at your table, which means whatever you pay is whatever you decide to pay. Both are last-pick dice. Neither projects above five points this week. If you want the version of this argument where the numbers actually support a bid, it needs a receiver the board rates well above his draft price, and none of these three qualifies.

Look up each name's exact spot on the Week 1 rankings. The draft kit covers slotting an unpriced player onto a bid sheet before you sit down. If you'd rather argue over a name that does carry a price, our market-check on three deep-ADP breakouts runs that version. And the live odds board is worth a glance for team context, though it carries no player names of its own.

What this isn’t

Every projection above is Week 1 and Week 1 only. There is no season-long number on this board for anybody. None of these four carries a graded pick either, so nothing above is a claim about how anyone has actually performed.

The Receipts Drawer

Luther Burden, 12.02 points. That is 28th at receiver on this board, against a draft crowd taking him 26th at the same position. Two spots apart is agreement, and agreement is not an edge. The August version of this page had him as a top-ten receiver nobody had priced.

He isn't, and they have. What would move him back into interesting territory is Chicago's depth chart, where he's currently second; if he takes the starting snaps in Week 1 that questionable tag is a discount instead of a warning. Watch the inactives list ninety minutes before kickoff. At a draft table tonight I'd pay his price and no more, and I'd let the other three go for a dollar to somebody who wants a lottery ticket.

Frequently asked questions

Why do three of these four receivers still have no draft price?
Nobody is drafting them. Pat Bryant is third on the Denver depth chart, Chimere Dike fourth in Tennessee, and Christian Kirk is on injured reserve. The board projects all three under five points for Week 1.
What changed for Luther Burden?
He picked up a draft price. Drafters take him at 51, the 26th receiver off the board, while this week's figure puts him 28th at the position on 12.02 points. Two spots apart is agreement, not an edge.
What does a 0.00 projection mean?
It is a status marker, not a forecast. Christian Kirk is on injured reserve and seventh on the San Francisco depth chart, so the board produced no expectation of a snap for him this week.
Are these Week 1 projections or season-long ones?
Week 1 only. There is no season-long number on this board for anybody, so nothing here carries past Sunday.

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  • Edge meter Positive expected value is presented as a meter, not a guarantee.
  • Model sparkline Model output and projection movement get a tiny sparkline rhythm.
  • Target heat Target-share language gets a hotter editorial treatment.
  • Tier stack Draft tiers and rankings use stacked chip rhythm.
  • Research scan Tables, evidence ledgers, and inline charts receive a research-note scan cue.
  • Draft board slide ADP and draft-board topics use sliding tier rhythm.

This article's context stays anchored to Updated Sep, Luther Burden and August. Four and model, price and fantasy wr breakouts, all of which appear in the post itself.

Names and terms found in this article
Updated SepLuther BurdenAugust. FourLuther Burden CHIQuestionable Pat Bryant DENChimere Dike TENChristian Kirk SFIR Whatmodelpricefantasy wr breakoutsmodel intervalsmarket consensus
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