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Edge · Lab

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Edge Lab · start from a question, get a number in seconds

The question becomes a formula lens and is backtested over graded history — baseline and sample size always sit beside it. Matched against 64 real built situations; an unmatched question is refused, never guessed at.

home_dogspreadtotalwind_mphrest_days_deltaweek

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Result

Favourites of 7 or more

172 graded games · 2019–25 · NFL spread · as of Jan 3, 7:00 PM ET

ATS spread win rate

42.0%

n=169 decided spread bets · as of Jan 3, 7:00 PM ET

same-game baseline

42.0%

n=169 decided spread bets

as of Jan 3

lift vs baseline

0.000

n=169 decided spread bets

as of Jan 3

CLV

—

n=0 graded wagers

as of Jan 3

late-season share

59%

weeks 10-18 · ATS spread 51.0% · n=102

as of Jan 3

Hit, baseline and lift

The result card's three comparable rate metrics in percentage points.

graded result - as of Jan 3, 7:00 PM ET

Season-half regime

ATS hit rate in the early and late season buckets returned by the backtest.

regime_split - as of Jan 3, 7:00 PM ET

Quests

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