Updated Oct 27, 2026
Updated Oct 26: the Colts at Jaguars spread pick and the book prices below were read on Oct 26, five days ahead of the Nov 1 kickoff.
The Jacksonville Jaguars host the Indianapolis Colts on Nov 1, and the Oct 26 spread pick on the home side records a line of 8 against a projected margin of 10.1. The recorded gap between those two numbers is 2.1 points. That is the whole story of this page: one spread, one gap, and a board of eleven books that does not agree on the half point.
A gap of that size is a reason to look, not a reason to bet blind. The sections below set the pick beside what each book was posting when the board was read, note the one piece of Colts news in the packet, and say plainly what the numbers cannot tell you.
The spread gap and where it sits on the board
The pick row, read on Oct 26, lists the Jaguars as the home side at a line of 8. The projected value attached to that pick is 10.1, and the stored edge is 2.1. Read plainly: the projection has Jacksonville winning by more than the line asks, by the recorded margin.
The odds board read on Oct 26 shows Jacksonville as a heavy home favorite across the market. BetUS lists the Colts at 8 and the Jaguars at -8, each at -110. MyBookie.ag is a half point shorter, with Indianapolis at 7.5 and Jacksonville at -7.5, again at -110 on both sides.
That half point matters because the pick sits on 8. A book offering Jacksonville at -7.5 asks for slightly less from the favorite than a book at -8, so the recorded gap is not the same size at every shop.
How the eleven books priced the Jaguars
The board splits into two camps. One camp posts Jacksonville at -8: BetUS, BetOnline.ag, Fanatics, LowVig.ag, Pinnacle and Bovada. The other camp posts -7.5: MyBookie.ag, BetMGM, BetRivers, FanDuel and DraftKings. The table lists the Jaguars side at each book as read on Oct 26.
| Book | Jaguars spread | Price |
|---|---|---|
| BetUS | -8 | -110 |
| MyBookie.ag | -7.5 | -110 |
| BetMGM | -7.5 | -112 |
| BetOnline.ag | -8 | -110 |
| BetRivers | -7.5 | -113 |
| Fanatics | -8 | -110 |
| FanDuel | -7.5 | -110 |
| LowVig.ag | -8 | -105 |
| Pinnacle | -8 | -106 |
| DraftKings | -7.5 | -112 |
| Bovada | -8 | -110 |
Price is the second half of the story. At -7.5, BetRivers charges -113 on the Jaguars, while LowVig.ag asks only -105 at -8. Pinnacle sits at -106 on the same -8. Those are the tightest recorded prices on the Jacksonville side.
The Colts side, moneylines and the one news item
The only news row in the packet is a media item dated Oct 26: a headline that Adam Schefter sees the Colts dealing players at the trade deadline. The row carries no names, no price, and no injury detail, so it is context rather than evidence for the spread. A seller at the deadline can change how a roster looks, but nothing in the packet says the line moved because of it.
The Colts moneyline runs wide across books. MyBookie.ag lists Indianapolis at 300, BetUS at 312, Pinnacle at 317, BetRivers at 320 and FanDuel at 330. On the other side, Jacksonville is -390 at BetUS and -420 at FanDuel. The totals market is steadier: every book posts 46.5, with BetUS at -110 on both the over and the under.
The spread is where the books disagree, and that is where the recorded gap lives.
The Receipts Drawer
The line-watch rows give a second read on Fanatics, last seen Oct 26. Its Jaguars spread is stored at -8 with a price of -110, and the last alerted point and price are the same, -8 and -110. The Colts side at Fanatics is stored at 8 and -110. Because the last alerted values match the last seen values, the packet shows no movement at Fanatics on the spread.
The same watch rows hold the Fanatics totals at 46.5 on the over and 46.5 on the under, each at -110. The moneyline rows show Indianapolis at 310 and Jacksonville at -400.
The desk has no graded record for this kind of pick yet, so no hit rate, sample size or interval is quoted here. The recorded gap is an observation about one game on one day, nothing more.
What this means for the reader and what to watch
For a reader shopping the Jaguars side, the practical point is that the half point is worth checking. The pick is recorded at 8, so the six books at -8 match the recorded line exactly, and the five at -7.5 sit slightly easier for the favorite. Which is better depends on price and on where the game lands, and the packet does not settle that.
Limits are real. One pick row is not a record of accuracy. The projection of 10.1 is a single read from Oct 26 and can change with lineup news, and the Colts deadline item shows roster talk is live. Nothing here promises a result, and a spread gap says the projection and the market differ, not that the market is wrong.
Watch the half point first. If the -7.5 books move to -8, the board converges on the pick line. If the -8 books slide down, the gap shrinks. Also watch the Colts deadline news, since a trade could shift both the projection and the price before Nov 1.
For the tools behind this kind of read, see how Shark Snip builds its numbers.
