Updated Sep 7, 2026 · Week 1 board.
The market for Sunday's game
Los Angeles hosts Arizona at 4:25 p.m. ET, Sep 13, Sunday afternoon. Every book we track has the Chargers favored by double digits.
| Book | Spread (home, Chargers) | Total | Moneyline (home / away) | Last checked |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | −10.5 (+106 / −119) | 47 | −509 / +395 | 4:52 p.m. ET, Sep 7 |
| DraftKings | −10 (−105 / −115) | 47.5 | −500 / +380 | 6:07 p.m. ET, Sep 7 |
| Bovada | −10 (−105 / −115) | 47.5 | −585 / +410 | 6:07 p.m. ET, Sep 7 |
Our published spread number moved in one day, and our moneyline pick is stale
Our spread pick on this game changed between two runs. On Aug 21 at 1:31 p.m. ET it read the away side, Arizona, at 10.5, our number 6.18, an edge of −4.32, confidence 0.8435.
By the next evening, Aug 22 around 9:16 p.m. ET, we had updated it three separate times to the same new read. Away at 10.5, our number 4.89, an edge of −5.61, confidence 0.8807. Our total pick, under 46.5, our number 44.76, an edge of −1.74, confidence 0.613, is dated from that same Aug 21 run.
The moneyline pick is the oldest thing we hold on this game. We like the home side, our number is 0.67, an edge of 0.17, confidence 0.665, and it was made back on July 7. That is more than six weeks before the spread and total updates above, and you should treat it as the least current of the three.
Under those published picks sit 38 separate models on this game's spread. Every one of them takes Arizona against the market line. Unanimous on the side is rare, and it happens here even though the numbers themselves scatter from −26.2863 all the way to 8.0044.
Six Chargers on the board, and a quarterback going far too late
Six Los Angeles players clear six projected points on the Week 1 projection board, which scores PPR. This article previously carried a figure for none of them. J.K. Dobbins is a Denver back on that board, so he is not a Chargers headliner and is not counted as one here.
| Player | Team | Pos | Week 1 projected pts (PPR) | Board rank | ADP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Herbert | LAC | QB | 18.97 | 4 | 103.6 |
| Omarion Hampton | LAC | RB | 17.58 | 8 | 22.4 |
| Ladd McConkey | LAC | WR | 13.77 | 19 | 38.5 |
| Quentin Johnston | LAC | WR | 10.35 | 40 | 91.8 |
| David Njoku | LAC | TE | 6.49 | 28 | undrafted |
| Keaton Mitchell (Q) | LAC | RB | 6.21 | 48 | 160.6 |
(Q) marks Mitchell as Questionable on that same injury check.
Justin Herbert is the one to write down. Fourth among quarterbacks on 18.97 projected points, and he goes at 103.6, which is round nine in a twelve-team league. Only three quarterbacks in the sport read better, and every one of the three is gone long before round nine. Omarion Hampton backs it up at eighth among running backs on 17.58 against a 22.4 draft slot, which is a fair price.
Ladd McConkey is nineteenth among receivers on 13.77 against a 38.5 draft slot, which is also about right. One bargain and two fair prices.
The one number that does exist for a Chargers player
Hampton is the only Chargers name with a checkable Week 1 figure anywhere in our numbers, and it comes off our player-prop consensus, pulled at 5:22 p.m. ET, Sep 7, not the fantasy board.
| Market | Underdog line |
|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 67.5 |
| Rush + receiving yards | 82.5 |
| Receiving yards | 14.5 |
| Receptions | 2.5 |
| Rushing attempts | 14.5 |
| Longest reception | 9.5 |
| Longest rush | 14.5 |
Every one of those seven lines is missing a PrizePicks number. There is no PrizePicks line on Hampton at all, only an Underdog figure, and when one book is the only book we take its number as the consensus by default. So read these as Underdog-only lines. Whatever agreement you think you see between two books here is that default doing the work, and PrizePicks has not weighed in.
Reading a stale moneyline against a fresh spread
The moneyline pick is from July 7. The spread and total picks are from Aug 21 and 22. That six-week gap matters for the same reason the Week 1 date at the top of this page matters. An old number can still be right.
It just has not been checked against anything that happened since, including every piece of roster and injury news that piles up across a training camp. So treat the moneyline as the least current of the three, and look at the live board before you back a 67% implied win chance that has not been rerun since early July.
What the Number Says
The Chargers are a heavy favorite and our own number moved toward them overnight, so the lean runs with the market here rather than against it. On offense the number is Herbert at fourth among quarterbacks, going at 103.6. That is the cheapest good quarterback on this page and probably on your draft board. What would spoil it is a run on passers before your ninth round, so check where the quarterbacks are going in your own league before you plan around him.
And re-check the moneyline before you bet it, because it is the stalest number here. Our full Week 1 picks board, this game's three published picks included, is at /picks/nfl. The three-book market is at /odds. Our fantasy board, blank Chargers entries and all, is at /fantasy/nfl/rankings.
Hampton's full set of prop lines sits on /player-props. For the 49ers' Week 1 opener against the Rams, done the same way, go to /blog/nfl-2026-team-specific-49ers-betting-fantasy.
