NFL MATCHUP DESK

PIT at NO

NFL 2026 · Week 7 · 2026-10-25 · 09:30

Stade de France

PIT @ NO on the wire

Pulled Oct 23, 9:15 a.m. UTC

What moved

Spread NO 3.5opened 2.5, +1
Total 44.5opened 44, +0.5
Books 11betonlineag moved most
Kickoff Sunday, Oct 25, 9:30 a.m.

Lenses that fire

A team on an extended ATS streak (either direction) is due for mean reversion; the streak itself carries no forward-looking edge once it reaches a genuine length.

home side 51% on 894 graded games
A closing spread a half point off a key number hands the underdog side extra backdoor- cover value that a spread sitting exactly on the key number does not.

home side 53% on 823 graded games

Angles

Line moved away
A lens fires here

MARKET

Open and now by book

Lines as of Oct 23, 2026, 8:52 PM EDT

betmgm

Open PIT favored by 2.5 Home -110 · Away -108 Moneyline PIT -140 · NO +115 Total 44.5 · Over -110 · Under -108

Now PIT favored by 3 Home -105 · Away -112 Moneyline PIT -175 · NO +140 Total 44.5 · Over -110 · Under -108

NFL key 3: on the key

As of Oct 23, 2026, 8:04 PM EDT

betonlineag

Open PIT favored by 1.5 Home -110 · Away -110 Moneyline PIT — · NO — Total 44.5 · Over -110 · Under -110

Now PIT favored by 3 Home -108 · Away -112 Moneyline PIT -168 · NO +148 Total 44.5 · Over -110 · Under -110

NFL key 3: on the key

As of Oct 23, 2026, 8:03 PM EDT

betrivers

Open PIT favored by 2 Home -109 · Away -112 Moneyline PIT -136 · NO +112 Total 44 · Over -109 · Under -112

Now PIT favored by 3 Home -106 · Away -115 Moneyline PIT -175 · NO +140 Total 44.5 · Over -108 · Under -113

NFL key 3: on the key

As of Oct 23, 2026, 8:04 PM EDT

betus

Open PIT favored by 2.5 Home -115 · Away -105 Moneyline PIT — · NO — Total 42.5 · Over -110 · Under -110

Now PIT favored by 3 Home -105 · Away -115 Moneyline PIT -168 · NO +145 Total 44.5 · Over -110 · Under -110

NFL key 3: on the key

As of Oct 23, 2026, 8:04 PM EDT

bovada

Open PIT favored by 2.5 Home -110 · Away -110 Moneyline PIT -140 · NO +120 Total 44.5 · Over -105 · Under -115

Now PIT favored by 3 Home -105 · Away -115 Moneyline PIT -170 · NO +145 Total 45 · Over -105 · Under -115

NFL key 3: on the key

As of Oct 23, 2026, 8:07 PM EDT

draftkings

Open PIT favored by 2.5 Home -110 · Away -110 Moneyline PIT — · NO — Total 42.5 · Over -110 · Under -110

Now PIT favored by 3 Home -108 · Away -112 Moneyline PIT -166 · NO +140 Total 44.5 · Over -112 · Under -108

NFL key 3: on the key

As of Oct 23, 2026, 8:07 PM EDT

HOUSE

Published play

away

Market: moneyline
Line: —
American odds: -170
Model: Model name unavailable
Confidence: 66.9%

picks · n = 1 selected row · release unversioned · as of 2026-10-23T20:23:17.896791+00:00

CONTEXT

Lens takes

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