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D3 · Lenses

Every game has more than one truth.

Put the voices around one table, browse their records, compare their disagreements, or return to the lenses you follow.

Upcoming games · Lens Intelligence Board

Versioned game evidence first; a blocked read is never presented as a neutral signal.

board read 8/28/2026, 10:54:02 AM

NE @ SEA

2026-09-09 · 20:20

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-10T00:20:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
3.5
Home / away price
-105 / -115
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Fires on away · evidence verified before cutoff

A fire is a hypothesis result, not proof of edge.

ticketsPctHome: 65 · threshold 65 · contribution 15

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
1028s old at cutoff
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

SF @ LA

2026-09-10 · 20:35

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-11T00:35:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
3.5
Home / away price
-105 / -115
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Fires on away · evidence verified before cutoff

A fire is a hypothesis result, not proof of edge.

ticketsPctHome: 65 · threshold 65 · contribution 15

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
1028s old at cutoff
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

MIA @ LV

2026-09-13 · 16:25

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-13T20:25:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
3.5
Home / away price
-110 / -110
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Eligible and evaluated · does not fire.

The required ticket percentage was available but did not clear the declared 65/35 threshold.

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
1028s old at cutoff
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

CLE @ JAX

2026-09-13 · 13:00

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
7.5
Home / away price
-110 / -110
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Fires on away · evidence verified before cutoff

A fire is a hypothesis result, not proof of edge.

ticketsPctHome: 66 · threshold 65 · contribution 16

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
1028s old at cutoff
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

GB @ MIN

2026-09-13 · 16:25

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-13T20:25:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
1.5
Home / away price
-102 / -118
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Eligible and evaluated · does not fire.

The required ticket percentage was available but did not clear the declared 65/35 threshold.

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
1028s old at cutoff
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

BUF @ HOU

2026-09-13 · 13:00

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
-1.5
Home / away price
-115 / -105
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Eligible and evaluated · does not fire.

The required ticket percentage was available but did not clear the declared 65/35 threshold.

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
1028s old at cutoff
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

ATL @ PIT

2026-09-13 · 13:00

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
3
Home / away price
-120 / +100
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Fires on away · evidence verified before cutoff

A fire is a hypothesis result, not proof of edge.

ticketsPctHome: 70 · threshold 65 · contribution 20

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
1028s old at cutoff
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

NYJ @ TEN

2026-09-13 · 13:00

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
3
Home / away price
+100 / -120
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Eligible and evaluated · does not fire.

The required ticket percentage was available but did not clear the declared 65/35 threshold.

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
1028s old at cutoff
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

NO @ DET

2026-09-13 · 13:00

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
7
Home / away price
-110 / -110
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Fires on away · evidence verified before cutoff

A fire is a hypothesis result, not proof of edge.

ticketsPctHome: 78 · threshold 65 · contribution 28

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
1028s old at cutoff
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

BAL @ IND

2026-09-13 · 13:00

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
-3.5
Home / away price
-112 / -108
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Eligible and evaluated · does not fire.

The required ticket percentage was available but did not clear the declared 65/35 threshold.

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
1028s old at cutoff
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

WAS @ PHI

2026-09-13 · 16:25

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-13T20:25:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
4.5
Home / away price
-110 / -110
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Eligible and evaluated · does not fire.

The required ticket percentage was available but did not clear the declared 65/35 threshold.

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
1028s old at cutoff
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

ARI @ LAC

2026-09-13 · 16:25

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-13T20:25:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
10.5
Home / away price
-110 / -110
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Eligible and evaluated · does not fire.

The required ticket percentage was available but did not clear the declared 65/35 threshold.

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
1028s old at cutoff
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

CHI @ CAR

2026-09-13 · 13:00

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
-2.5
Home / away price
-102 / -118
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Fires on home · evidence verified before cutoff

A fire is a hypothesis result, not proof of edge.

ticketsPctHome: 26 · threshold 35 · contribution 24

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
1028s old at cutoff
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

TB @ CIN

2026-09-13 · 13:00

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-13T17:00:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
3.5
Home / away price
-115 / -105
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Eligible and evaluated · does not fire.

The required ticket percentage was available but did not clear the declared 65/35 threshold.

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
1028s old at cutoff
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

DAL @ NYG

2026-09-13 · 20:20

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-14T00:20:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
-2.5
Home / away price
-105 / -115
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Fires on home · evidence verified before cutoff

A fire is a hypothesis result, not proof of edge.

ticketsPctHome: 30 · threshold 35 · contribution 20

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
1028s old at cutoff
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

DEN @ KC

2026-09-14 · 20:15

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-15T00:15:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
3
Home / away price
-105 / -115
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Eligible and evaluated · does not fire.

The required ticket percentage was available but did not clear the declared 65/35 threshold.

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
1028s old at cutoff
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

DET @ BUF

2026-09-17 · 20:15

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-18T00:15:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
3
Home / away price
-110 / -110
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Cannot evaluate this game.

Evaluation boundary: missing betting splits source timestamp

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
unavailable
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

CAR @ ATL

2026-09-20 · 13:00

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-20T17:00:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
1.5
Home / away price
-110 / -110
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Cannot evaluate this game.

Evaluation boundary: missing betting splits source timestamp

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
unavailable
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

NO @ BAL

2026-09-20 · 13:00

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-20T17:00:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
7.5
Home / away price
-110 / -110
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Cannot evaluate this game.

Evaluation boundary: missing betting splits source timestamp

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
unavailable
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

JAX @ DEN

2026-09-20 · 16:05

Casual Bettor v2

Kickoff verified: 2026-09-20T20:05:00.000Z · America/New_York

Spread snapshot
2.5
Home / away price
-115 / -105
Source updated
2026-08-28T10:45:09.819+00:00

Cannot evaluate this game.

Evaluation boundary: missing betting splits source timestamp

Lifecycle
GRADING
Historical sample
not measured
Evaluation
insufficient data
Uncertainty
not measured
Split freshness
unavailable
Model role
admission required

Stats boundary: row missing for all/overall; this is not a query failure.

Passport persistence verified from lens_versions at 2026-08-26T14:35:07.627Z.

Open Lens Passport Create a composite Add to a model draft

Edge Atlas · where the market is beatable this season

24 lenses in the bake · as of Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET

lift vs the 52.4% break-even, by lens × claim class · n in each cell · tap a graded cell for its reading regime:
edge-direction
line-value
spread
total
· Combined injury attrition total
—
—
—
—n 3
· Division dog
—
—
—
· Divisional primetime combo
—
—
—
· Injury cluster
—
—
—n 3
—
F Casual bettor
—1,753 ungraded
—
—
—
· Contrarian
—
—
—
· Modeler
—
—
—
· Public fade
—
—
—5 ungraded
—
· Residual
—
—
—
· Sharp
—
—
—
· Steam move
—
—
—7 ungraded
—1 ungraded
· Total key number
—
—
—
—1 ungraded
· Ats streak regression
—
—
—
· Cold weather late season total
—
—
—
· Home dog primetime
—
—
—
· Line value
—
—
—
· Qb out
—
—
—
· Rest advantage
—
—
—
· Short week both sides total
—
—
—
· Short week fade
—
—
—n 3
—
· Calibration
—
—
—
· Prime time under
—
—
—
· Pundit:yt ben solak
—n 11
—
—
—
37 registered lenses with no edge-direction / line-value / spread / total claims yet
F Beat
—
—
—
—
· Disagreement
—
—
—
—
· Drift
—
—
—
—
· Ensemble disagreement
—
—
—
—
F Fan
—
—
—
—
· Favorite trap
—
—
—
—
F Historian
—
—
—
—
· Hype fade
—
—
—
—
· Injury redistribution
—
—
—
—
· Injury whisper confirm
—
—
—
—
· Key number cross
—
—
—
—
· Matchup
—
—
—
—
· Ml divisional dog
—
—
—
—
· Ml value dog
—
—
—
—
· Model conviction pickem
—
—
—
—
· Model market gap
—
—
—
—
· Regime
—
—
—
—
· Rest and bullpen
—
—
—
—
· Reverse line move
—
—
—
—
· Roster
—
—
—
—
· Splits divergence
—
—
—
—
· Uncertainty
—
—
—
—
· Usage share
—
—
—
—
· Sharp vs public
—
—
—
—
· Model edge
—
—
—
—
· Rest edge
—
—
—
—
· Travel lag
—
—
—
—
· Primetime dog
—
—
—
—
· Wind under
—
—
—
—
· Starters out
—
—
—
—
· Divisional dog
—
—
—
—
· Consensus
—
—
—
—
· Counterfactual
—
—
—
—
· Official tendencies
—
—
—
—
· Oline whisper fade
—
—
—
—
· Pace x usage
—
—
—
—
· Park factors
—
—
—
—

Hottest cell · all weeks

Divisional primetime combo × spread: 56.3% ATS on 142 graded claims · lift +3.9 pts vs the 52.4% break-even

sharkai_calibration_ledger · 152 claims, 142 graded · as of Aug 26

Show the lens Send to Bench as Filter

60 lenses × 4 claim classes · 10,243 of 14,506 claims graded · as of Aug 28

Highest graded aggregate in this bake

Calibration currently leads the graded Atlas rows available to this route.

53.3% ATS · n=300 · lift +3.3pt · CLV — · as of Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET

Call it

Call it requires sign-in.

Sign in to lock a roundtable call.

Roundtable

The loudest split on the current baked slate, voice by voice.

Voice-vs-house agreement isn't shown yet — no loader pairs a house pick with tonight's loudest game (register A-27); each voice's own claim is below.

Contrarian SURFACED 53.0% · n 300 GB @ MIN · The Minnesota side, favored at 1.5, appears to be overvalued by the market. Early on, the Bears are struggling to generate the expected offense, hinting that the line may be too generous. –
Modeler SURFACED 53.3% · n 300 DEN @ KC · Model-edge sees no graded edge for the Denver Broncos in their first‑week clash with Kansas City, underscoring the uncertainty in the outlook. The reference market line sits at 3 points, setting the baseline expectation for the matchup. With no clear advantage, the game remains a tight contest that could swing either way. –
Sharp SURFACED 47.0% · n 300 DEN @ KC · Sharp finds value on the KC side, posting line 3. The key number is 3, and the market moves reflect a cautious optimism for the Chiefs. –
Beat FEED ONLY narrative PHI @ CHI · no take on this game yet –
Casual bettor FEED ONLY narrative PHI @ CHI · no take on this game yet –
Fan FEED ONLY narrative IND @ WAS · no take on this game yet –
Historian FEED ONLY narrative PHI @ CHI · no take on this game yet –
Roster SURFACED — · n 0 PHI @ CHI · no take on this game yet –

Pundit voice

No pundit has enough graded calls yet (only 11 graded calls — needs 20).

Look through a lens

Choose any baked subject and any lens; the reading is computed fresh, restricted to that exact subject when a graded claim exists there, with an honest fallback or absence otherwise -- never a lens's bare season number standing in for one it does not have.

Beat on PHI @ CHI: No claims on PHI @ CHI yet, and beat carries no graded record this season.

not graded · as of Aug 28, 6:54 AM ET

No fired signal recorded for beat on 2026_03_PHI_CHI yet.

Ask SharkAI · NE @ SEA

SharkAI on this card answers only from these baked takes and graded rows and cites the voice; if nothing is baked it says so and shows the next bake (:35).

Streaks

Current form for the two lenses whose bake-time claim commits to a side, and their record when they take opposite sides of the same game.

Hot · Sharp

W3

won the last 3 of its 10 most recently graded claims

lens_look_through · as of 2026-08-28T09:25:10.264+00:00

Cold · Contrarian

L3

lost the last 3 of its 10 most recently graded claims

lens_look_through · as of 2026-08-28T09:25:16.747+00:00

Split games

921–996

Sharp wins 48.0% of the 1,917 games graded for both — Contrarian's bake claim always fades Sharp's pick, so every one is a real split.

sharkai_calibration_ledger · as of 2026-08-28T09:25:16.747+00:00

Today's seven, with numbers · sortable by lift

The roundtable takes, with their graded records from the same hourly bake.

8 baked takes · source: lens_look_through

LensTakeRecord (ATS, n)Lift vs break-evenCLVGateCan beas-of
ModelerDEN @ KC · Model-edge sees no graded edge for the Denver Broncos in their first‑week clash with Kansas City, underscoring the uncertainty in the outlook. The reference market line sits at 3 points, setting the baseline expectation for the matchup. With no clear advantage, the game remains a tight contest that could swing either way.53.3%· n 300+3.3pt—SURFACEDFFAug 28, 5:25 AM ET
ContrarianGB @ MIN · The Minnesota side, favored at 1.5, appears to be overvalued by the market. Early on, the Bears are struggling to generate the expected offense, hinting that the line may be too generous.53.0%· n 300+3.0pt—SURFACEDFFAug 28, 5:25 AM ET
SharpDEN @ KC · Sharp finds value on the KC side, posting line 3. The key number is 3, and the market moves reflect a cautious optimism for the Chiefs.47.0%· n 300-3.0pt—SURFACEDFFAug 28, 5:25 AM ET
BeatPHI @ CHI · no take on this game yetnarrative · not gradednot gradednot gradedFEED_ONLYFAug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Casual bettorPHI @ CHI · no take on this game yetnarrative · not gradednot gradednot gradedFEED_ONLYFAug 28, 5:25 AM ET
FanIND @ WAS · Fan lens (narrative): IND at WAS, week 4, season 2026.narrative · not gradednot gradednot gradedFEED_ONLYFAug 28, 5:25 AM ET
HistorianPHI @ CHI · no take on this game yetnarrative · not gradednot gradednot gradedFEED_ONLYFAug 28, 5:25 AM ET
RosterPHI @ CHI · no take on this game yetnot graded · n 0not gradednot gradedSURFACEDFAug 28, 5:25 AM ET

Lens index

24 lenses · hourly bake

Ranked by trailing-300 lift (lens_stats)

  1. #1 · Prime time under · n=300 · lift +4.7pt (CI -1.4pt to +10.7pt)
  2. #2 · Line value · n=300 · lift +3.9pt (CI -2.3pt to +9.8pt)
  3. #3 · Division dog · n=300 · lift +2.7pt (CI -3.5pt to +8.7pt)
  4. #4 · Rest advantage · n=300 · lift -1.8pt (CI -7.9pt to +4.3pt)
  5. #5 · Ats streak regression · n=300 · lift -6.5pt (CI -12.6pt to -0.3pt)
  6. unranked · Divisional primetime combo · n=145 · lift +3.5pt (CI -5.0pt to +11.7pt)
  7. unranked · Home dog primetime · n=162 · lift +0.5pt (CI -7.6pt to +8.4pt)
  8. unranked · Short week both sides total · n=120 · lift -1.4pt (CI -10.6pt to +7.6pt)
  9. unranked · Qb out · n=109 · lift -5.2pt (CI -14.7pt to +4.5pt)
Graded
300
Hit
53.3% ATS
Lift
+3.3pt
CLV
—
Gate
SURFACED
As of
Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Graded
300
Hit
53.0% ATS
Lift
+3.0pt
CLV
—
Gate
SURFACED
As of
Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Graded
300
Hit
53.3% ATS
Lift
+3.3pt
CLV
—
Gate
SURFACED
As of
Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Graded
300
Hit
47.0% ATS
Lift
-3.0pt
CLV
—
Gate
SURFACED
As of
Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Graded
276
Hit
46.0% ATS
Lift
-4.0pt
CLV
—
Gate
SURFACED
As of
Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Graded
not graded
Hit
narrative
Lift
not graded
CLV
not graded
Gate
FEED ONLY
As of
Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Graded
not graded
Hit
narrative
Lift
not graded
CLV
not graded
Gate
FEED ONLY
As of
Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Graded
0
Hit
not graded
Lift
not graded
CLV
not graded
Gate
SURFACED
As of
Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Graded
0
Hit
not graded
Lift
not graded
CLV
not graded
Gate
SURFACED
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Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Graded
0
Hit
not graded
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not graded
CLV
not graded
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SURFACED
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Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Graded
0
Hit
not graded
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not graded
CLV
not graded
Gate
SURFACED
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Graded
0
Hit
not graded
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not graded
CLV
not graded
Gate
SURFACED
As of
Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Graded
not graded
Hit
narrative
Lift
not graded
CLV
not graded
Gate
FEED ONLY
As of
Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Graded
not graded
Hit
narrative
Lift
not graded
CLV
not graded
Gate
FEED ONLY
As of
Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Graded
0
Hit
not graded
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not graded
CLV
not graded
Gate
SURFACED
As of
Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
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0
Hit
not graded
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not graded
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not graded
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SURFACED
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Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
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0
Hit
not graded
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not graded
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not graded
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SURFACED
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Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
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0
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not graded
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not graded
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not graded
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SURFACED
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Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
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0
Hit
not graded
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not graded
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not graded
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SURFACED
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Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Graded
0
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not graded
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not graded
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not graded
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SURFACED
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Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Graded
0
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not graded
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not graded
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not graded
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SURFACED
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Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Graded
0
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not graded
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not graded
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not graded
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SURFACED
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Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Graded
0
Hit
not graded
Lift
not graded
CLV
not graded
Gate
SURFACED
As of
Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Graded
0
Hit
not graded
Lift
not graded
CLV
not graded
Gate
SURFACED
As of
Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET

Discovery · find a way of seeing

The same discovery surface as the Bench library: search, facets, "for your model", trending, by record.

ATS spread break-even at -110 is 52.4%; every rate below names its graded n.

showing 24 of 24 · as of Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Sort by

Ranked by ATS hit rate

lens_look_through · n=5 graded lenses matching current facets · as of Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET

  • Calibration

    model-evidence · SURFACED

    53.3% ATS spread · n=300

    +3.3pt lift · CLV not graded

  • Modeler

    model-evidence · SURFACED

    53.3% ATS spread · n=300

    +3.3pt lift · CLV not graded

  • Contrarian

    market-price · SURFACED

    53.0% ATS spread · n=300

    +3.0pt lift · CLV not graded

  • Sharp

    market-price · SURFACED

    47.0% ATS spread · n=300

    -3.0pt lift · CLV not graded

  • Residual

    model-evidence · SURFACED

    46.0% ATS spread · n=276

    -4.0pt lift · CLV not graded

ATS hit-rate board

lens_look_through · n=5 graded lenses · as of Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET

0.0%10.7%21.3%32.0%42.7%53.3%Calibration: 53.3%CalibrationModeler: 53.3%ModelerContrarian: 53.0%ContrarianSharp: 47.0%SharpResidual: 46.0%Residual

Sample size vs lift

lens_look_through · n=5 lift rows · as of Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET

Does the edge hold with sample?Each dot is one graded lens-4.4pt-2.8pt-1.1pt+0.5pt+2.1pt+3.8pt258.0270.0282.0294.0306.0318.0Calibration: graded n300.0, lift vs break-even+3.3ptCalibrationModeler: graded n300.0, lift vs break-even+3.3ptModelerContrarian: graded n300.0, lift vs break-even+3.0ptContrarianSharp: graded n300.0, lift vs break-even-3.0ptSharpResidual: graded n276.0, lift vs break-even-4.0ptResidualLIFT VS BREAK-EVENGRADED Nlens_look_through · as of Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
LensGateRecord (ATS spread)Lift (ATS spread)CLVas-of
CalibrationSURFACED53.3% ATS spread · n=300+3.3pt · n=300not graded yet · n=300Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
ContrarianSURFACED53.0% ATS spread · n=300+3.0pt · n=300not graded yet · n=300Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
ModelerSURFACED53.3% ATS spread · n=300+3.3pt · n=300not graded yet · n=300Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
SharpSURFACED47.0% ATS spread · n=300-3.0pt · n=300not graded yet · n=300Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
ResidualSURFACED46.0% ATS spread · n=276-4.0pt · n=276not graded yet · n=276Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
BeatFEED_ONLYnot graded yet · ATS spread · n=0not graded yet · n=0not graded yet · n=0Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Casual bettorFEED_ONLYnot graded yet · ATS spread · n=0not graded yet · n=0not graded yet · n=0Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
ConsensusSURFACEDnot graded yet · ATS spread · n=0not graded yet · n=0not graded yet · n=0Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
CounterfactualSURFACEDnot graded yet · ATS spread · n=0not graded yet · n=0not graded yet · n=0Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
DisagreementSURFACEDnot graded yet · ATS spread · n=0not graded yet · n=0not graded yet · n=0Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
DriftSURFACEDnot graded yet · ATS spread · n=0not graded yet · n=0not graded yet · n=0Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Ensemble disagreementSURFACEDnot graded yet · ATS spread · n=0not graded yet · n=0not graded yet · n=0Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
FanFEED_ONLYnot graded yet · ATS spread · n=0not graded yet · n=0not graded yet · n=0Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
HistorianFEED_ONLYnot graded yet · ATS spread · n=0not graded yet · n=0not graded yet · n=0Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Injury redistributionSURFACEDnot graded yet · ATS spread · n=0not graded yet · n=0not graded yet · n=0Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
MatchupSURFACEDnot graded yet · ATS spread · n=0not graded yet · n=0not graded yet · n=0Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Official tendenciesSURFACEDnot graded yet · ATS spread · n=0not graded yet · n=0not graded yet · n=0Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Pace x usageSURFACEDnot graded yet · ATS spread · n=0not graded yet · n=0not graded yet · n=0Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Park factorsSURFACEDnot graded yet · ATS spread · n=0not graded yet · n=0not graded yet · n=0Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
RegimeSURFACEDnot graded yet · ATS spread · n=0not graded yet · n=0not graded yet · n=0Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Rest and bullpenSURFACEDnot graded yet · ATS spread · n=0not graded yet · n=0not graded yet · n=0Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
RosterSURFACEDnot graded yet · ATS spread · n=0not graded yet · n=0not graded yet · n=0Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
UncertaintySURFACEDnot graded yet · ATS spread · n=0not graded yet · n=0not graded yet · n=0Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET
Usage shareSURFACEDnot graded yet · ATS spread · n=0not graded yet · n=0not graded yet · n=0Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET

States

Anon

Atlas + split-game roundtable + index; Call it requires sign-in; Ask 3/day

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Trial / paid

every game's roundtable, unlimited Ask, pundits, Mine, arena

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Nothing baked

the next bake time with its countdown, plus the last bake for this matchup if any

8 of 24 lenses carry a take in this bake · last bake Aug 28, 5:25 AM ET

Decaying

index row shows the drift arrow plus the demotion note with its trailing rate

0 of 24 lenses are gated DECAYING in this bake

Grading

provisional record in grey with n and the 1,000 target

0 of 24 lenses are gated GRADING in this bake

Ask failed

SharkAI names the rows it could not read; never an invented answer

the Ask read returned 26 baked answersfor NE @ SEA