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NFL MATCHUP DESK

CLE at TEN

NFL 2026 · Week 7 · 2026-10-25 · 13:00

Nissan Stadium

CLE @ TEN on the wire

Pulled Oct 22, 9:15 a.m. UTC

What moved

  • Spread TEN 1.5
  • Total 37.5opened 37, +0.5
  • Books 11draftkings moved most
  • Kickoff Sunday, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m.

Lenses that fire

  • A closing spread a half point off a key number hands the underdog side extra backdoor- cover value that a spread sitting exactly on the key number does not.

    away side 53% on 823 graded games

  • A team on an extended ATS streak (either direction) is due for mean reversion; the streak itself carries no forward-looking edge once it reaches a genuine length.

    home side 51% on 894 graded games

Angles

  • A lens fires here

MARKET

Open and now by book

Lines as of Oct 22, 2026, 7:07 PM EDT

betmgm

Open CLE favored by 1.5 Home -108 · Away -110 Moneyline CLE -125 · TEN +105 Total 36.5 · Over -108 · Under -110
Now CLE favored by 2 Home -110 · Away -108 Moneyline CLE -135 · TEN +110 Total 37.5 · Over -105 · Under -112

NFL key 3: 1.0 points away

As of Oct 22, 2026, 6:57 PM EDT

betonlineag

Open CLE favored by 1.5 Home -105 · Away -115 Moneyline CLE — · TEN — Total 37 · Over -110 · Under -110
Now CLE favored by 1 Home +100 · Away -120 Moneyline CLE -130 · TEN +110 Total 37.5 · Over -105 · Under -115

NFL key 3: 2.0 points away

As of Oct 22, 2026, 6:57 PM EDT

betrivers

Open CLE favored by 1.5 Home -109 · Away -112 Moneyline CLE -125 · TEN +104 Total 37 · Over -114 · Under -107
Now CLE favored by 2.5 Home -113 · Away -109 Moneyline CLE -136 · TEN +110 Total 37.5 · Over -110 · Under -112

NFL key 3: 0.5 points away

As of Oct 22, 2026, 6:57 PM EDT

betus

Open CLE favored by 1.5 Home -105 · Away -115 Moneyline CLE — · TEN — Total 36.5 · Over -110 · Under -110
Now CLE favored by 1 Home +100 · Away -120 Moneyline CLE -130 · TEN +110 Total 37.5 · Over -105 · Under -115

NFL key 3: 2.0 points away

As of Oct 22, 2026, 2:04 PM EDT

bovada

Open CLE favored by 1.5 Home -110 · Away -110 Moneyline CLE -125 · TEN +105 Total 37 · Over -110 · Under -110
Now CLE favored by 1.5 Home -110 · Away -110 Moneyline CLE -130 · TEN +110 Total 37.5 · Over -105 · Under -115

NFL key 3: 1.5 points away

As of Oct 22, 2026, 7:07 PM EDT

draftkings

Open TEN favored by 2.5 Home -110 · Away -110 Moneyline CLE — · TEN — Total 40.5 · Over -110 · Under -110
Now CLE favored by 1.5 Home -112 · Away -108 Moneyline CLE -130 · TEN +110 Total 37.5 · Over -102 · Under -118

NFL key 3: 1.5 points away

As of Oct 22, 2026, 7:07 PM EDT

HOUSE

Published play

over

Market
receptions
Line
1.5
American odds
-195
Model
Model name unavailable
Confidence
63.3%

picks · n = 1 selected row · release unversioned · as of 2026-10-22T12:50:10.536792+00:00

CONTEXT

Lens takes

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No lens takes

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Weather

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Injuries

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Roundtable

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