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CURRENT
-6 → -5.5 (+0.5) over 24 captures ATL @ GB spread -6 → -5.5 house House backtest last 10: 6–4 · 90-day all-market 54.8% (n=8726) · 4h ago Wire Evaluating surprise early-season trends for 32 NFL teams Wire Why 49ers' Brock Purdy looks poised for his best season yet Wire Why Aaron Glenn is encouraged by the Jets' progress Zach Ertz 5 podcast mentions · bullish · 12h ago Jameis Winston 3 podcast mentions · bearish · 13h ago
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LA @ SF

12/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Model's Core Prediction

Market Spread
NaN
Model Fair Spread
0.00
Home Win Prob.
50.0%
Spread Edge
NaN pts

Model Notes:

Core prediction based on 2025 EPA ratings.

Power Rating Breakdown

Home Field Advantage: 2.50

Advanced Model Prediction

Monte Carlo Simulation

Simulated Score Differential

Run simulation to generate chart

Distribution of (Home Score - Away Score)

Derivative Market Prices

Probabilities derived from simulation results.

Run simulation to see results.

Your equipped models

These come from published model runs. The fair spread above is this page's own math, not a published model.

  • house spread

    Nothing published yet this week.