Angles · look-through
Sharp
Method card
Method details are not available yet
This angle has no method details yet. You can read its calls and graded results below.
More details about how this angle works will appear here.
as of Oct 23, 7:25 PM ET
hit rate (all)
Ready51.9%
n=27
as of Oct 23
trailing 300
Ready51.9%
n=27
as of Oct 23
best market
Readyline-value
51.9% · n=27
as of Oct 23
weeks 1-9
Ready51.9%
n=27
as of Oct 23
weeks 10-18
—
n=0
as of Oct 23
playoffs
—
n=0
as of Oct 23
Angle card · what every angle carries
“Line value, key numbers (3/7), CLV and market moves.”
The tell
line-value
Fires tonight on 10 games.
Blind spot
line-value (51.9% · n=27).
Famous call: CAR @ PHI — line-value (54.7%, hit).
Rolling hit rate needs 100 graded claims — not there yet.
- Graded claims
- 27 Includes 1 past game replayed from pre-kickoff lines.
- Hit · Brier
- 51.9% · 0.253
- Lift vs break-even
- -0.5 pts
- CLV when followed
- —
- By regime
- early 51.9% · late — · playoffs —
- Drift (trailing 300)
- — (needs 300 graded)
- Rating
- Not rated yet
- Used in other angles
- None yet
Counts differ by cohort: the tiles above use decided claims (wins and losses) in each window, while Graded claims counts every graded ledger row, pushes included. Lift here is measured against the −110 break-even; the card on /lenses measures it against the other lenses.
Record by part of the season
| Weeks | Hit rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 1-9 | 51.9% | 27 |
| 10-18 | — | 0 |
| playoffs | — | 0 |
Calibration
dot size = n; dashed = perfect calibration · n=27 · as of Oct 23, 7:25 PM ET
Tells it reads
- line-value
Last graded calls
| Game | Call | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE @ CHI | line-value | 50.9% | hit |
| WAS @ SF | line-value | 51.7% | miss |
| TEN @ IND | line-value | 52.7% | miss |
| PIT @ TB | line-value | 52.7% | hit |
| NYJ @ NE | line-value | 51.7% | hit |
| NO @ NYG | line-value | 53.3% | hit |
| DAL @ GB | line-value | 53.6% | miss |
| IND @ PIT | line-value | 47.8% | hit |
| DEN @ LAC | line-value | 54.0% | hit |
| CLE @ NYJ | line-value | 50.9% | hit |
Scoreboard
All time
Not enough graded games yet.
Last 300 games
Not enough graded games yet.
This season
Not enough graded games yet.
Reliability
Brier / ECE per window, read off the scoreboard's own rows — the confidence-vs-observed curve above (from the hourly update) is a separate reading.
Record by conditions
No measurements to compare conditions yet (Last 300 games).
Recent calls
| Game | Market / side | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LAC @ SEA | spread · home | push |
| MIA @ MIN | spread · home | loss |
| JAX @ CIN | spread · home | loss |
| NYJ @ CHI | spread · home | win |
| NE @ BUF | spread · home | loss |
| TEN @ BAL | spread · home | loss |
| GB @ TB | spread · away | push |
| LA @ PHI | spread · away | win |
| ARI @ NYG | spread · home | win |
| DAL @ HOU | spread · home | loss |