Prop bets (proposition bets) are wagers on specific outcomes within a game rather than the final result. Player props focus on individual performance (e.g., Patrick Mahomes passing yards over/under 289.5). Game props cover specific events (first team to score, total first-half points).
Player props are often softer markets. Books price them quickly using simpler models, and they receive less sharp attention than spread/moneyline markets. A bettor with a strong player performance model can find systematic edges.
Correlated props: Player props correlate with game outcomes and team matchups. A quarterback's passing yards prop correlates with the game total and with the opposing defense's pass coverage. Pricing a QB props accurately requires modeling the full game context.
Books respond to prop edge: As a prop market matures (more betting action, sharper attention), lines tighten and efficiency increases. Early in the season or week, props are often softer. Line shopping is especially valuable for props.
The Shark Snip player props page aggregates prop lines across PrizePicks, DraftKings Pick6, and Underdog Fantasy, with model-generated predictions where available.