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536 matching articles from 536 available published articles.
Player Props ·
How to weight platoon splits in MLB hitter prop models — when the starter L/R edge survives the bullpen, and the Baseball Savant features that drive it.
Updated
Player Props ·
How NBA prop markets respond when a star sits. Teammate usage spikes, prop volatility, and the /picks alert workflow for star-out pivots.
Updated
NFL Betting ·
Historical ATS data on NFL teams after firing their head coach: interim-bump games, lame-duck stretches, and how to bet futures around the cycle.
Updated
NFL Betting ·
Why Monday night NFL totals systematically trade above their fair number, with 2026 MNF schedule context and a pace-plus-weather under model.
Updated
NFL Betting ·
NFL adopted playoff OT rules for the 2026 regular season. Second-order effects on moneylines, totals, and OT props add up to an early-season edge.
Updated
NFL Betting ·
How rookie quarterbacks have covered Week 1 spreads by draft slot, home/road and opponent quality - and the profile to apply once the 2026 class is set.
Updated
Methodology ·
Tout Tracker shipped NBA-only because the NFL is off-season. What the gap is, why September 2026 closes it, and what we track until then.
Updated
Methodology ·
Ben Taylor's Thinking Basketball: +8.01 shrunk lift over 182 NBA mentions in our 90-day window, with the math and the matched-pair sample behind it.
Updated
Methodology ·
Tout Tracker launch: shrunk empirical-Bayes lift for 5 NBA media sources over 90 days, from 1,341 matched mentions and tens of thousands of outcomes.
Updated
WNBA ·
A pace-adjusted WNBA totals model on stats.wnba.com data: per-possession scoring × possessions, a 2025 backtest, and a Studio brick.
Updated
Model checks ·
A live chart of Brier score against forecast probability, with eight real pick confidence values marked -- no Week 1 pick has graded yet.
Updated
Data ·
players.csv and games.csv live in nflverse-data's GitHub releases: the exact columns a bettor opens, the id that joins them, and how we use both.
Updated
Dynasty ·
53 man dynasty roster startup strategy for superflex: round plan, MFL/Sleeper ADP, SFLEX QB tiers, taxi rules.
Bankroll ·
A Bayesian calculator for "am I a sharp bettor?" Uses CLV + bet count to compute posterior P(sharp | data), with realistic priors and worked examples.
Model checks ·
How to backtest a sports betting model in the browser with TensorFlow.js. Train, evaluate, and ship a model on your own device with no upload.
Model checks ·
A bettor-friendly guide to calibration plots. Reliability diagrams, isotonic and Platt recalibration, and how to spot overconfident models.
Responsible Betting ·
Client side loss limit tool for any bet tracker: localStorage kill-switch, daily reset math, and test cases that catch edge bugs.
Model checks ·
Client-side betting models (TensorFlow.js) vs Python pipelines (PyTorch, scikit-learn), compared on latency, privacy, reproducibility, and capability.
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