CLE at NYJ

A team on an extended ATS streak (either direction) is due for mean reversion; the streak itself carries no forward-looking edge once it reaches a genuine length.

home side 51% on 849 graded games

A team on an extended ATS streak (either direction) is due for mean reversion; the streak itself carries no forward-looking edge once it reaches a genuine length.

home side 51% on 849 graded games

A meaningful rest-days edge before kickoff correlates with a better-prepared, fresher team; back whichever side has the edge.

away side 51% on 431 graded games

A meaningful rest-days edge before kickoff correlates with a better-prepared, fresher team; back whichever side has the edge.

away side 51% on 431 graded games

Rest advantage of at least three days identifies the better-rested side.

away side 51% on 431 graded games

A closing spread a half point off a key number hands the underdog side extra backdoor- cover value that a spread sitting exactly on the key number does not.

away side 53% on 783 graded games

Rest advantage of at least three days identifies the better-rested side.

away side 51% on 431 graded games

A meaningful rest-days edge before kickoff correlates with a better-prepared, fresher team; back whichever side has the edge.

away side 51% on 431 graded games

A team on an extended ATS streak (either direction) is due for mean reversion; the streak itself carries no forward-looking edge once it reaches a genuine length.

home side 51% on 849 graded games