Angles · look-through
Wind Under
as of Oct 18, 6:25 PM ET
hit rate (all)
Ready54.9%
n=142
as of Oct 18
trailing 300
Ready54.9%
n=142
as of Oct 18
best market
Readytotal
54.9% · n=142
as of Oct 18
weeks 1-9
Ready43.1%
n=58
as of Oct 18
weeks 10-18
Ready62.8%
n=78
as of Oct 18
playoffs
Ready71.4%
n=7
as of Oct 18
Angle card · what every angle carries
“Wind Under”
The tell
total
Fires tonight on 0 games.
Blind spot
total (54.9% · n=142).
Famous call: SF @ PHI — total (54.2%, hit).
- Graded claims
- 142
- Hit · Brier
- 54.9% · 0.248
- Lift vs break-even
- +2.5 pts
- CLV when followed
- —
- By regime
- early 43.1% · late 62.8% · playoffs 71.4%
- Drift (trailing 300)
- — (needs 300 graded)
- Rating
- Not rated yet
- Used in other angles
- None yet
Counts differ by cohort: the tiles above use decided claims (wins and losses) in each window, while Graded claims counts every graded ledger row, pushes included. Lift here is measured against the −110 break-even; the card on /lenses measures it against the other lenses.
Record by part of the season
| Weeks | Hit rate | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 1-9 | 43.1% | 58 |
| 10-18 | 62.8% | 78 |
| playoffs | 71.4% | 7 |
Calibration
dot size = n; dashed = perfect calibration · n=142 · as of Oct 18, 6:25 PM ET
Tells it reads
- total
Last graded calls
| Game | Call | Confidence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| SF @ PHI | total | 54.2% | hit |
| LA @ CAR | total | 54.2% | miss |
| MIN @ NYG | total | 54.2% | hit |
| LA @ SEA | total | 54.2% | miss |
| BUF @ CLE | total | 54.2% | miss |
| LV @ PHI | total | 54.2% | hit |
| SF @ CLE | total | 54.2% | hit |
| CHI @ PHI | total | 54.2% | hit |
| BUF @ PIT | total | 54.2% | hit |
| TB @ BUF | total | 54.2% | miss |
Scoreboard
54.9%
n=144 · listed, not yet ranked (n < 300)
Last 300 games
54.9%
n=144 · listed, not yet ranked (n < 300)
This season
Not enough graded games yet.
Reliability
Brier / ECE per window, read off the scoreboard's own rows — the confidence-vs-observed curve above (from the hourly update) is a separate reading.
Record by conditions
Not enough graded games to compare conditions yet (Last 300 games).
Recent calls
| Game | Market / side | Percentile | Details | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF @ PHI | total · under | 100% | windMph | win |
| LA @ CAR | total · under | 100% | windMph | loss |
| MIN @ NYG | total · under | 100% | windMph | win |
| LA @ SEA | total · under | 100% | windMph | loss |
| BUF @ CLE | total · under | 100% | windMph | loss |
| LV @ PHI | total · under | 100% | windMph | win |
| SF @ CLE | total · under | 100% | windMph | win |
| CHI @ PHI | total · under | 100% | windMph | win |
| BUF @ PIT | total · under | 100% | windMph | win |
| TB @ BUF | total · under | 100% | windMph | loss |