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Divisional Primetime Combo

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as of Oct 18, 6:25 PM ET

57.1%

n=147

as of Oct 18

57.1%

n=147

as of Oct 18

spread

57.1% · n=147

as of Oct 18

56.5%

n=62

as of Oct 18

57.5%

n=80

as of Oct 18

66.7%

n=6

as of Oct 18

Angle card · what every angle carries

“Divisional Primetime Combo”

The tell

spread

Fires tonight on 0 games.

Blind spot

spread (57.1% · n=147).

Famous call: BAL @ PIT — spread (55.4%, hit).

Look through it Remix

Graded claims: 149
Hit · Brier: 57.7% · 0.245
Lift vs break-even: +5.3 pts
CLV when followed: +0.3
By regime: early 56.5% · late 57.5% · playoffs 66.7%
Drift (trailing 300): — (needs 300 graded)
Rating: Not rated yet
Used in other angles: None yet

Counts differ by cohort: the tiles above use decided claims (wins and losses) in each window, while Graded claims counts every graded ledger row, pushes included. Lift here is measured against the −110 break-even; the card on /lenses measures it against the other lenses.

Record by part of the season

Weeks	Hit rate	Games
1-9	56.5%	62
10-18	57.5%	80
playoffs	66.7%	6

Calibration

dot size = n; dashed = perfect calibration · n=147 · as of Oct 18, 6:25 PM ET

Tells it reads

spread

Last graded calls

Game	Call	Confidence	Result
PIT @ CLE	spread	54.9%	hit
ATL @ NO	spread	55.3%	hit
SF @ LA	spread	54.7%	hit
DEN @ KC	spread	54.7%	miss
DAL @ NYG	spread	54.7%	hit
LA @ SEA	spread	55.4%	miss
BAL @ PIT	spread	55.4%	hit
DET @ MIN	spread	55.4%	hit
DEN @ KC	spread	55.4%	hit
DAL @ WAS	spread	55.4%	hit

Scoreboard

57.7%

n=152 · listed, not yet ranked (n < 300)

Last 300 games

57.7%

n=152 · listed, not yet ranked (n < 300)

This season

Not enough graded games yet.

Reliability

Brier / ECE per window, read off the scoreboard's own rows — the confidence-vs-observed curve above (from the hourly update) is a separate reading.

brier 0.245 · ece — (n=152)

Last 300 games brier 0.245 · ece — (n=152)

This season — not enough graded games yet

Record by conditions

Not enough graded games to compare conditions yet (Last 300 games).

Recent calls

Game	Market / side	Percentile	Details	Result
DAL @ PHI	spread · home	100%	divisional, primetime, spreadClose	pending
DAL @ PHI	spread · away	100%	divisional, primetime, spreadClose	pending
ATL @ NO	spread · away	100%	divisional, primetime, spreadClose	win
ATL @ NO	spread · away	100%	divisional, primetime, spreadClose	win
PIT @ CLE	spread · home	100%	divisional, primetime, spreadClose	win
PIT @ CLE	spread · home	100%	divisional, primetime, spreadClose	win
SF @ LA	spread · away	100%	divisional, primetime, spreadClose	win
DEN @ KC	spread · away	100%	divisional, primetime, spreadClose	loss
DAL @ NYG	spread · home	100%	divisional, primetime, spreadClose	win
PHI @ DAL	spread · away	100%	divisional, primetime, spreadClose	pending