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as of Aug 29, 7:25 AM ET

hit rate (all)

n=0

as of Aug 29

trailing 300

n=0

as of Aug 29

best market

— · n=0

as of Aug 29

weeks 1-9

n=0

as of Aug 29

weeks 10-18

n=0

as of Aug 29

playoffs

n=0

as of Aug 29

Lens card · what every lens carries

“Who a team returns, adds and loses, from the depth chart out.”

Fires tonight on: 10 games.

Rolling hit rate needs 100 graded claims — not there yet.

Graded claims
0
Hit · Brier
— · —
Lift vs break-even
CLV when followed
By regime
early — · late — · playoffs —
Drift (trailing 300)
— (needs 300 graded)
Gate
SURFACED
Remixed
0

Regime split

weekshitn
1-90
10-180
playoffs0

Calibration

dot size = n; dashed = perfect calibration · n=0 · as of Aug 29, 7:25 AM ET

Saying tonight

  • PIT @ CLE · (0.0%)
  • PHI @ CHI · (0.0%)
  • HOU @ IND · (0.0%)
  • LAC @ BUF · (0.0%)
  • NE @ JAX · (0.0%)
  • NYJ @ DET · (0.0%)
  • LV @ NO · (0.0%)
  • CAR @ CLE · (0.0%)
  • LA @ DEN · (0.0%)
  • MIN @ TB · (0.0%)

Last 10 graded claims

gameclaimconfresultCLV

Scoreboard

all

Not yet materialized — the nightly lens_stats job (register L-04) has not written this lens for this window.

t300

Not yet materialized — the nightly lens_stats job (register L-04) has not written this lens for this window.

season

Not yet materialized — the nightly lens_stats job (register L-04) has not written this lens for this window.

Reliability (lens_stats)

Brier / ECE per window, read off the scoreboard's own rows — the confidence-vs-observed curve above (from the hourly look-through bake) is a separate reading.

all — not yet materialized
t300 — not yet materialized
season — not yet materialized

Regime split (lens_stats)

No regime beyond "overall" materialized yet for this lens (t300).

Recent signals

No fired signals recorded for this lens yet.