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Market Mechanics

Market

A wager type/event a book prices.

Definition

A market is a specific thing a sportsbook lets you bet on and prices with odds. It can be the winner of a game, a point spread, a total, a player prop, a futures bet, or any other priced outcome.

For American odds, implied probability can be calculated from the price. At negative odds:

implied probability = odds / (odds + 100)

Use the absolute value of the negative odds. A -110 price implies:

110 / (110 + 100) = 52.38%

That means the bet needs to win more than 52.38% before considering the sportsbook margin to have positive expected value.

Worked Example

In an NBA game, a sportsbook lists these markets:

  • Lakers moneyline: -135
  • Lakers -2.5 spread: -110
  • Game total over 224.5: -110
  • LeBron James over 24.5 points: -115

Each is a separate market because each prices a different outcome. If you bet $110 on Lakers -2.5 at -110, the bet wins $100 if the Lakers win by 3 or more points.

Why It Matters

Knowing the exact market keeps your analysis focused on the outcome being priced. It helps a bettor compare odds, calculate break-even rate, and avoid mixing up edges across different bet types.

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