Sports Betting Stats Hub
Sports betting stats — July 2026
A monthly-refreshed cite-able snapshot of US sports betting data — model performance, closing-line value, parlay vig, ATS cover rates, sportsbook handle. Lift any line; deeplink any stat. Sources cited.
ATS + spreads
14 stats- # 48.3%
Home favorites covered the closing spread 48.3% of the time across 4,357 graded NFL regular-season games (1999–2025).
- # 51.7%
Road underdogs covered 51.7% against the spread when the home team was favored — historically the single highest-cover bucket at the close.
- # 50.1%
Home underdogs covered 50.1% ATS across 2,391 games where the road team was favored.
- # 48.9%
Favorites of any kind covered just 48.9% ATS — the structural edge at the close sits with underdogs, not chalk.
- # 66.7%
Favorites won outright 66.7% of the time — they win the game but cover less than half, the textbook favorite trap.
- # 48.3%
Large favorites laying 7+ points covered 48.3% across 2,044 games — laying big numbers is a long-run loser at the close.
- # 49.2%
Short favorites of 1–3 points covered 49.2% ATS across 2,394 games.
- # 15.0%
15.0% of NFL regular-season games landed on a final margin of exactly 3 — the most common margin and the most valuable key number to buy on or off.
- # 9.1%
9.1% of games landed on a margin of exactly 7, the second key number bettors pay to cross.
- # +2.2 pts
The home team won by an average of 2.2 points across 6,967 games — the quantified value of home-field advantage.
- # 56.2%
Home teams won outright 56.2% of NFL regular-season games (1999–2025).
- # 2.7%
2.7% of games pushed against the closing spread — the reason buying onto or off a key number changes long-run results.
- # 49.2%
Home teams with a rest-day advantage covered just 49.2% across 1,003 games — the market prices rest efficiently.
- # 47.8%
Playoff home favorites covered 47.8% across 247 postseason games — the rare bucket where favorites hold an ATS edge.
Totals
11 stats- # 49.5%
The over hit 49.5% of NFL totals across 6,868 graded games — unders held a slight structural edge at the close.
- # 50.5%
Unders cashed 50.5% of NFL totals at the close across 6,868 games (1999–2025).
- # 1.4%
1.4% of games landed exactly on the closing total — a total push.
- # 44.2
NFL regular-season games averaged 44.2 combined points across 6,967 games.
- # 43.5
The average closing total was 43.5 points across 6,967 games (1999–2025).
- # 51.5%
Primetime games (Thursday/Monday night plus night kickoffs) went under 51.5% of the time across 1,269 games.
- # 51.2%
Games in domed or roof-closed stadiums hit the over 51.2% across 1,713 games — controlled conditions modestly favor scoring.
- # 48.6%
Outdoor games below 35°F went under 48.6% across 391 games — cold suppresses scoring.
- # 56.2%
Games with 15+ mph wind went under 56.2% across 642 games — wind is the strongest single weather signal for totals.
- # 51.7%
Playoff games went under 51.7% of the time across 302 postseason games.
- # 4.0%
Middling an NFL total — an under at one number and an over at a higher one — pays out big when both cash, but the middle hits less than 4% of the time at a typical 1.5-point gap.
Parlays
3 stats- # 12.7%
A standard 3-leg parlay at -110 carries roughly 12–13% effective vig versus about 4.55% on a single side — the implied hold compounds with every leg added.
- # 1.5%
Arbitrage opportunities between two retail US sportsbooks rarely exceed a 1–2% margin, and limits collapse fast once a bettor shows a pattern of timing them.
- # 12.7%
A standard 3-leg parlay at -110 prices carries roughly a 13% effective vig vs about 4.5% on a single side bet.
Source: FOX Sports — What is the vig · retrieved 2026-06-05
Closing line value
2 stats- # +2.0 pts
Sustained closing-line value above 2 cents per bet is the cleanest indicator of a real edge — most sharp groups operate in the 2–5 cent range across thousands of plays.
- # 50.0%
For a -110 / -110 two-way market the no-vig fair price for each side is exactly 50% — every cent of vig is dead-weight cost to the bettor.
Industry handle
4 stats- # $148.3B
US commercial sportsbooks handled $148.3 billion in legal wagers in 2024, a 23.6% jump over 2023.
Source: American Gaming Association — Commercial Gaming Revenue Tracker · retrieved 2026-06-05
- # $13.8B
Sportsbook gross gaming revenue (hold) reached $13.78 billion in 2024 — a 25.4% YoY increase.
Source: American Gaming Association — Commercial Gaming Revenue Tracker · retrieved 2026-06-05
- # $23.1B
Bettors wagered an estimated $23.1 billion on Super Bowl LVIII across legal and informal markets.
Source: American Gaming Association Super Bowl survey · retrieved 2026-06-05
- # $35.0B
Legal US sportsbooks were projected to handle a record $35 billion in NFL wagers for the 2024 season.
Source: Legal Sports Report — NFL handle projection · retrieved 2026-06-05
State of play
7 stats- # 4.55%
Standard -110 / -110 sportsbook lines carry roughly 4.55% effective vig — the book holds that edge on balanced action.
- # 52.38%
At -110 prices the bettor break-even win rate is exactly 11/21 = 52.38%. Below it you are a long-run loser; above it, a long-run winner.
- # 50.0%
Half-Kelly staking — betting 50% of the Kelly-optimal fraction — cuts drawdown variance roughly in half while keeping about 75% of full-Kelly geometric growth.
- # 38
38 US states plus Washington DC have legal sports betting as of May 2026, with 30 supporting online wagers.
Source: Legal Sports Report — sports betting bill tracker · retrieved 2026-06-05
- # 68,000,000
68 million American adults — about 26% of the adult population — placed a bet on Super Bowl LVIII in 2024.
Source: American Gaming Association Super Bowl survey · retrieved 2026-06-05
- # $3.4B
CFTC-regulated prediction markets (Kalshi + ForecastEx) hit $3.4B in election + event volume in 2024 H2, pulling regulatory attention to event contracts on sports outcomes.
Source: CFTC press release — KalshiEX position limits · retrieved 2026-06-05
Fantasy
1 stats- # 62,500,000
62.5 million Americans played fantasy sports in 2024 — about 1 in 5 adults — with 80% of them now in money leagues.
Source: Fantasy Sports & Gaming Association — 2024 industry report · retrieved 2026-06-05