NFL Desk
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Every published NFL model, the day's edges, and the data behind them — one page.
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Full catalogAdaBoost Regressor model-head Adaptive boosting of weak learners weighted by residual magnitude.ATS Percentage eval-metric Against-the-spread cover rate: wins / (wins + losses).Average Edge eval-metric Mean of the edge column across all applied bets.Backfill ops Backfill a source over a date range. Browser preview processes the first 100 rows and reports the total; server processes the full range.Bankroll-Aware Kelly bet-sizing Kelly scaled by current bankroll relative to a target: shrink stakes during drawdown, expand during streak.Bayesian MLP / MC-Dropout (TF.js) model-head Bayesian neural network approximation via Monte Carlo Dropout. Yields both a point estimate and a calibrated uncertainty — high-variance predictions can be sized down or skipped. Toy task: noisy sine regression.